hdgraerd

Other 32% +$319 $8,825 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	99¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Spread: Houston Cougars (-9.5)	Texas A&M Aggies	45¢	0¢	$-34	loss
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5	Over	50¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	No	73¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?	Yes	44¢	100¢	+$51	win

Geopolitics 75% +$18 $1,111 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Ukraine vs. Sweden end in a draw?	No	71¢	100¢	+$19	win
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 100% +$0 $85 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 100% +$0 $100 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Solana dip to $40 in March?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Culture 0% $-3 $2,151 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Elections 0% $-6 $7,298 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	99¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Politics 0% $-9 $9,017 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-1	loss

Esports 0% $-97 $164 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: SINQU vs GenOne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs	SINQU	50¢	50¢	+$0	—
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2	FURIA	64¢	0¢	$-97	loss

Sports 7% $-351 $35,683 vol · 44 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	99¢	99¢	$-2	loss
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	100¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Thunder vs. Celtics	Thunder	60¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Pelicans vs. Knicks	Knicks	77¢	100¢	+$14	win
Sabres vs. Golden Knights	Sabres	47¢	100¢	+$42	win
Bruins vs. Devils	Bruins	48¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Nuggets vs. Spurs	Spurs	66¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Timberwolves vs. Clippers	Timberwolves	46¢	0¢	$-35	loss