Win rate
40.0%
12 W / 18 L
Total PnL
$-436
realized $-1,654 · unrealized $1,217
Portfolio
$1,217
volume $486,549
Predictions
32
0.5/day · avg $15,205
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 50% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$47 | win |
Sports 60% $-51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | +$119 | win |
Politics 0% $-60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 20¢ | 8¢ | $-60 | loss |
Other 36% $-365
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-278 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar | Cameron Norrie | 7¢ | 4¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
| Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner | Shelton | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
| Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machac | Machac | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | loss |
| Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverry | Etcheverry | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | loss |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | 42¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | win |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | loss |
Recent Trades (33)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $396 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05? | Yes | 36.7¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 05/03/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner | Shelton | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 11.9¢ | 0¢ | +$119 | $436 | 08/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machac | Machac | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | $175 | 07/02/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverry | Etcheverry | 22.2¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | $130 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.1¢ | 0¢ | +$47 | $803 | 31/01/2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | $100 | 31/01/2026 |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | $200 | 25/01/2026 |
| Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | +$313 | $200 | 24/01/2026 |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-24? | Yes | 26.6¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 24/01/2026 |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 23/01/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21? | Yes | 49.9¢ | 100¢ | +$429 | $427 | 21/01/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 21/01/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$358 | $1,077 | 20/01/2026 |
| Will FC København vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? | Yes | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | $200 | 20/01/2026 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be deported by December 31? | Yes | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $-163 | $250 | 31/12/2025 |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | Sinner | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $551 | 17/11/2025 |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz | Musetti | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 17/11/2025 |
| Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar | Cameron Norrie | 7.0¢ | 4¢ | $-8 | $22 | 24/04/2026 |
| Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? | Yes | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $-278 | $297 | 28/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 12¢ | +$112 | $300 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | +$98 | $979 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $-127 | $422 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0.8¢ | 1¢ | +$47 | $250 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11.6¢ | 9¢ | $-190 | $800 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 1¢ | +$100 | $300 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $200 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0.8¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $200 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 76.0¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | $556 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 8¢ | $-60 | $300 | 31/12/2026 |