Washington-SiegeofBoston

Sports 55% +$2,256 $3,449 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	No	47¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	100¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	79¢	77¢	+$0	win
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	No	96¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will John Collins win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Alexander Command be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?	No	31¢	40¢	+$3	win
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	67¢	41¢	$-2	loss
Will Virginia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 74% +$1,799 $25,332 vol · 150 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Fogo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	92¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	$-60	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	14¢	100¢	+$404	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	53¢	100¢	+$310	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	53¢	100¢	+$299	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	52¢	100¢	+$219	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	36¢	100¢	+$200	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	40¢	100¢	+$180	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	35¢	100¢	+$160	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	61¢	100¢	+$152	win

Weather 14% $-64 $1,034 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	40¢	82¢	$-1	loss
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	$-27	loss
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-2	loss

Finance 27% $-83 $1,456 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	45¢	57¢	$-1	loss
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	62¢	64¢	$-2	loss
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	53¢	56¢	$-4	loss
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	52¢	42¢	$-8	loss
Anduril IPO before 2027?	Yes	40¢	8¢	+$11	win
Anduril IPO before 2027?	No	65¢	92¢	$-15	loss
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	50¢	66¢	$-1	loss
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	51¢	34¢	$-2	loss
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-1	loss
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	Yes	21¢	0¢	+$9	win

Tech 28% $-193 $4,682 vol · 46 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	77¢	78¢	$-13	loss
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	39¢	38¢	+$0	win
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	48¢	60¢	$-0	loss
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	60¢	62¢	$-4	loss
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	64¢	70¢	$-4	loss
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	36¢	30¢	$-6	loss
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	59¢	62¢	$-1	loss
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?	No	28¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Tesla dip to $375 in March?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$5	win

Economy 0% $-231 $231 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	13¢	0¢	$-231	loss

Elections 27% $-285 $4,096 vol · 48 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	61¢	43¢	$-4	loss
Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?	No	83¢	86¢	$-2	loss
Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	90¢	86¢	$-11	loss
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	96¢	96¢	$-0	loss
Will Harriet Hageman win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	No	100¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will Kristin Robbins win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	47¢	13¢	$-13	loss

Mentions 37% $-301 $4,256 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	No	81¢	0¢	$-90	loss
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-97	loss
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	No	90¢	0¢	$-79	loss
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	No	78¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	Yes	95¢	100¢	$-26	loss
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	No	13¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Culture 35% $-380 $2,635 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?	Yes	73¢	10¢	$-28	loss
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	77¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	41¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	52¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	31¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	89¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will "Jurassic World Rebirth" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	20¢	0¢	$-15	loss

Other 31% $-741 $30,058 vol · 128 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	No	46¢	68¢	$-2	loss
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$0	win
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?	No	96¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	82¢	78¢	$-0	loss
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	78¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	96¢	99¢	$-23	loss
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	52¢	0¢	$-176	loss

Politics 36% $-928 $5,507 vol · 55 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	44¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	57¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	92¢	94¢	+$0	—
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	No	55¢	53¢	+$0	—
Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?	No	79¢	34¢	$-1	loss
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?	No	96¢	89¢	+$1	win
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	57¢	3¢	$-3	loss
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Yes	42¢	97¢	$-3	loss
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	No	27¢	28¢	+$0	win
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	Yes	86¢	89¢	+$0	win

Geopolitics 28% $-2,950 $25,677 vol · 111 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Yes	22¢	12¢	+$28	win
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	74¢	86¢	+$1	win
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	94¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	82¢	92¢	$-18	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	23¢	69¢	$-61	loss
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	77¢	88¢	$-27	loss
Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?	No	30¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will there be a new supreme leader of Iran before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	94¢	100¢	$-20	loss
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	66¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	24¢	4¢	+$5	win