Win rate
13.1%
13 W / 86 L
Total PnL
$-954
realized $-1,973 · unrealized $1,019
Portfolio
$1,019
volume $225,758
Predictions
104
2.7/day · avg $2,171
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 0% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Esports 0% $-85
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | TheMongolz | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-90
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadiens vs. Senators | Senators | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
Other 35% $-293
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Based FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Poland vs. Albania end in a draw? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5) | Virginia Cavaliers | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5 | Over | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
| Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5) | Santa Clara Broncos | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | loss |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-136 | loss |
| Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-03-14? | No | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | loss |
Sports 11% $-452
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Wizards vs. Jazz | Jazz | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Sharks vs. Predators | Sharks | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Suns vs. Spurs | Spurs | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Clippers | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Poland vs. Albania end in a draw? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $90 | 26/03/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Jazz | Jazz | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $74 | 26/03/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Predators | Sharks | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 24? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $62 | 24/03/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | $65 | 24/03/2026 |
| Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5) | Virginia Cavaliers | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 22/03/2026 |
| Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5 | Over | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $78 | 21/03/2026 |
| Suns vs. Spurs | Spurs | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $87 | 20/03/2026 |
| Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5) | Santa Clara Broncos | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | $86 | 20/03/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Clippers | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | $82 | 19/03/2026 |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $119 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16? | Yes | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-136 | $136 | 16/03/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Canadiens | Canadiens | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | $82 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-03-14? | No | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-104 | $104 | 14/03/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 68.9¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $71 | 13/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | TheMongolz | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $85 | 13/03/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Senators | Senators | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $90 | 11/03/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Hurricanes | Hurricanes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $122 | 10/03/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Hawks | Hawks | 76.9¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $111 | 10/03/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Nets | Grizzlies | 53.9¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $64 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will US Lecce win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $72 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | $137 | 07/03/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Suns | Suns | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $64 | 07/03/2026 |
| Golden Knights vs. Sabres | Golden Knights | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | $115 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03? | No | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? | No | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-115 | $115 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $862 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,072 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,583 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,592 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,639 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $808 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $846 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $976 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,028 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $820 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $918 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,033 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,150 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,366 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,528 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,466 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $3,628 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $526 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $615 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $795 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $808 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $822 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $917 | 20/07/2026 |