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0xa53e8fc4c2f9910e584de69d8b40a502a638218d · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
22.2%
4 W / 14 L
Total PnL
$-133,612
realized $-247,011 · unrealized $113,399
Portfolio
$113,399
volume $1,254,063
Predictions
19
0.6/day · avg $66,003
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 0% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 45¢ | 44¢ | $-11 | loss |
Politics 50% $-14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 33¢ | 38¢ | +$15 | win |
Other 0% $-1,255
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 44¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 53¢ | 50¢ | $-1,254 | loss |
Geopolitics 23% $-132,611
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-33,357 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 41¢ | 30¢ | $-26,944 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 8¢ | $-24,594 | loss |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $-41 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 28¢ | 20¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 1¢ | $-12,371 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 57¢ | 61¢ | +$6 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 39¢ | 44¢ | +$149 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-15,095 | loss |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | win |
Recent Trades (18)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | $-15,095 | $15,095 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | $10,011 | 07/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $-320 | $320 | 28/02/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 33.0¢ | 38¢ | +$15 | $100 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 38.7¢ | 44¢ | +$149 | $1,000 | 22/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.8¢ | 1¢ | $-12,371 | $15,722 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 53.3¢ | 50¢ | $-1,254 | $24,096 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 60.6¢ | 60¢ | $-12 | $7,251 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 59¢ | $-29 | $1,737 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 57.2¢ | 61¢ | +$6 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 20.7¢ | 0¢ | $-20,075 | $20,075 | 30/04/2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 28.7¢ | 28¢ | $-41 | $1,000 | 31/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 28.2¢ | 20¢ | $-87 | $282 | 31/05/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 18.9¢ | 8¢ | $-24,594 | $40,769 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 44¢ | $-11 | $1,000 | 01/07/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 40.5¢ | 30¢ | $-26,944 | $95,024 | 31/12/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 44¢ | $-1 | $100 | 31/12/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 37.5¢ | 0¢ | $-33,357 | $33,357 | 31/12/2026 |