Win rate
28.1%
23 W / 59 L
Total PnL
$-1,871
realized $-3,199 · unrealized $1,328
Portfolio
$1,328
volume $179,457
Predictions
95
1.9/day · avg $1,889
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 8? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 7? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 4? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 2? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 90% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 0% $-30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Sports 9% $-40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Grizzlies vs. 76ers | 76ers | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Knicks | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
| Maple Leafs vs. Devils | Devils | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | win |
| Blue Jackets vs. Rangers | Rangers | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | loss |
| Pelicans vs. Hornets | Pelicans | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
Other 12% $-1,805
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-1,645 | loss |
| Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-24.5) | Tennessee State Tigers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09? | Yes | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | win |
| Will Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw? | No | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-07? | No | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,645 | $1,645 | 26/03/2026 |
| Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-24.5) | Tennessee State Tigers | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $98 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $66 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $86 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,261 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,459 | 15/03/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. 76ers | 76ers | 65.9¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $81 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $72 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw? | No | 78.0¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 08/03/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Knicks | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $86 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-07? | No | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | $77 | 07/03/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Devils | Devils | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | $99 | 05/03/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Rangers | Rangers | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-154 | $154 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 11? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 8? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 7? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 07/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 05/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 4? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 04/02/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Hornets | Pelicans | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $57 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 2? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 02/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,211 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,485 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,580 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,163 | 21/06/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,437 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $832 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $986 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,347 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,342 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,367 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,373 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,407 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $3,556 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,176 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $81 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $80 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $81 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $757 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $795 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,240 | 20/07/2026 |