Win rate
67.8%
238 W / 113 L
Total PnL
$-12,666
realized $-13,261 · unrealized $595
Portfolio
$595
volume $2,037,028
Predictions
509
5.8/day · avg $4,002
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Mentions 48% +$531
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$238 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$891 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-175 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 100% +$185
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | +$120 | win |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
Economy 0% $-163
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Culture 0% $-761
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SZA release a new song in 2025? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-581 | loss |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | $-129 | loss |
Sports 20% $-998
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-1,221 | loss |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
Crypto 83% $-1,130
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 23? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | Up | 95¢ | 0¢ | $-494 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | Down | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | Down | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Geopolitics 31% $-1,295
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$90 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$77 | win |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$69 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-999 | loss |
Tech 38% $-2,849
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | loss |
| Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
Other 41% $-4,149
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HumidiFi FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$657 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-174 | loss |
| Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$548 | win |
| Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 47¢ | 100¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 52¢ | 0¢ | +$61 | win |
| Will Almanak FDV above $160M one day after launch? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale? | No | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-3,354 | loss |
| Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-196 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore | Royal Challengers Bangalore | 40.2¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | $2,627 | 17/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians | Rajasthan Royals | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | $-80 | $5,940 | 14/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians | Mumbai Indians | 38.9¢ | 0¢ | $-369 | $380 | 14/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitals | Lucknow Super Giants | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $64 | 08/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titans | Gujarat Titans | 6.1¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | $95 | 07/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kings | Rajasthan Royals | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $470 | 06/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kings | Chennai Super Kings | 21.9¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | $182 | 06/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Riders | Mumbai Indians | 54.8¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $1,521 | 05/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | Sunrisers Hyderabad | 43.4¢ | 0¢ | +$31 | $320 | 04/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 60.4¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | +$90 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $59 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? | No | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $38 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | No | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026? | No | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | Down | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 27/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 23? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $4,323 | 23/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $300 | 23/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 23/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | Up | 94.8¢ | 0¢ | $-494 | $494 | 23/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | Down | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | $100 | 23/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | Down | 21.9¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 23/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | Up | 40.3¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $40 | 23/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | Down | 34.2¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | Up | 92.3¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $500 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | Down | 84.9¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $200 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Down | 86.5¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $200 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | Down | 89.1¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $200 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Down | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $100 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | Down | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $260 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | Down | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $320 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | Down | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $420 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | Up | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $340 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | Up | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $200 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $200 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $200 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $200 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $300 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $300 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | Up | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $200 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | Up | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | Up | 73.1¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 22/03/2026 |