Win rate
68.4%
93 W / 43 L
Total PnL
$-1,239
realized $-3,582 · unrealized $2,343
Portfolio
$2,343
volume $207,482
Predictions
211
1.1/day · avg $983
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/07/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 73% +$546
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-234 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 75¢ | 64¢ | $-30 | loss |
| BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Vit Kopriva | Flavio Cobolli | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$204 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Otto Virtanen | Carlos Alcaraz | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Monza: Arthur Fery vs Vitaliy Sachko | Vitaliy Sachko | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-515 | loss |
| Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score | No | 94¢ | 0¢ | $-166 | loss |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%? | Yes | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Australian Open Men's: Yibing Wu vs Mitchell Krueger | Wu | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| ASB Classic: Hamad Medjedovic vs Jakub Mensik | Mensik | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Olga Danilovic | Danilovic | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Tech 80% +$289
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale? | No | 90¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | loss |
Politics 50% +$88
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Common sense" during TPUSA events on April 17? | Yes | 76¢ | 72¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 11) | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4) | No | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$557 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November? | No | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-192 | loss |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | No | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | loss |
Crypto 100% +$76
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
Culture 100% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 2 straight weeks? | No | 81¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | win |
Weather 0% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 17? | No | 93¢ | 91¢ | $-7 | loss |
Sports 33% $-53
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricanes vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Panthers vs. Sabres | Sabres | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Kraken vs. Rangers | Kraken | 44¢ | 100¢ | $-55 | loss |
Geopolitics 71% $-773
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 7, 2026? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | win |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026? | Yes | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 7, 2026? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | $-155 | loss |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 90¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 66¢ | 7¢ | $-189 | loss |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
Esports 62% $-2,114
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Truck Drivers vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) | Truck Drivers | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) | Natus Vincere | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Heroic (BO3) | Heroic | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MINLATE (BO3) | ARCRED | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC (BO3) | MASONIC | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) | JD Gaming | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA (BO3) | GamerLegion | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs STATE (BO3) | FORZE Reload | 79¢ | 100¢ | $-107 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA (BO3) | Passion UA | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-297 | loss |
| Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle (BO1) | Inner Circle | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$167 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 17? | No | 92.7¢ | 91¢ | $-7 | $551 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during TPUSA events on April 17? | Yes | 83.7¢ | 84¢ | $-0 | $165 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during TPUSA events on April 17? | Yes | 74.3¢ | 77¢ | +$4 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left" during TPUSA events on April 17? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 84¢ | +$4 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Common sense" during TPUSA events on April 17? | Yes | 75.7¢ | 72¢ | $-3 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Monza: Arthur Fery vs Vitaliy Sachko | Vitaliy Sachko | 88.0¢ | 0¢ | $-515 | $528 | 13/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 66.4¢ | 7¢ | $-189 | $589 | 07/04/2026 |
| Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score | No | 93.7¢ | 0¢ | $-166 | $166 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026? | Yes | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $543 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%? | Yes | 31.7¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31? | Yes | 55.1¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $339 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026? | Yes | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $532 | 31/03/2026 |
| Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 76.9¢ | 100¢ | +$227 | $757 | 01/02/2026 |
| Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$191 | $1,000 | 01/02/2026 |
| Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 44.6¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | $319 | 01/02/2026 |
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $100 | 01/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $369 | 31/01/2026 |
| Australian Open Men's: Yibing Wu vs Mitchell Krueger | Wu | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $872 | 26/01/2026 |
| ASB Classic: Hamad Medjedovic vs Jakub Mensik | Mensik | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $185 | 21/01/2026 |
| Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Olga Danilovic | Danilovic | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $204 | 20/01/2026 |
| Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rinky Hijikata | Fokina | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $204 | 20/01/2026 |
| ASB Classic: Alejandro Tabilo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Tabilo | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$606 | $1,418 | 18/01/2026 |
| ASB Classic: Mariano Navone vs Alex Michelsen | Navone | 63.5¢ | 0¢ | $-158 | $300 | 18/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Truck Drivers vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) | Truck Drivers | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $68 | 14/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 82.6¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $40 | 14/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner | Heroic | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $29 | 14/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MINLATE (BO3) | ARCRED | 78.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $22 | 14/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC (BO3) | MASONIC | 87.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $26 | 14/01/2026 |
| Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $36 | 14/01/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) | JD Gaming | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 14/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Heroic (BO3) | Heroic | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $29 | 14/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA (BO3) | GamerLegion | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | $-7 | $163 | 14/01/2026 |
| Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-14? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $378 | 14/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) | Natus Vincere | 92.2¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 14/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs STATE (BO3) | FORZE Reload | 79.1¢ | 100¢ | $-107 | $187 | 14/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA (BO3) | Passion UA | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-297 | $275 | 14/01/2026 |
| Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle (BO1) | Inner Circle | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$167 | $326 | 13/01/2026 |
| Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama State Hornets | Alabama State Hornets | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$118 | $1,875 | 13/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ALGO Esports (BO3) | ALGO Esports | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $285 | 13/01/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $164 | 13/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 (BO3) | BASEMENT BOYS | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $344 | 13/01/2026 |
| Grambling State Tigers vs. Florida A&M Rattlers | Florida A&M Rattlers | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $190 | 13/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: illwill vs MASONIC (BO3) | illwill | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $266 | 13/01/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Sabres | Sabres | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $100 | 13/01/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Rangers | Kraken | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | $-55 | $100 | 13/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) | Astralis | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | $-115 | $493 | 13/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) | FaZe | 84.6¢ | 0¢ | $-2,026 | $2,026 | 13/01/2026 |
| North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bears | North Carolina Central Eagles | 85.8¢ | 100¢ | +$264 | $1,611 | 12/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Lilmix (BO3) | ALGO Esports | 88.6¢ | 100¢ | +$196 | $1,843 | 12/01/2026 |
| Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-12? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | $2,001 | 12/01/2026 |