HighLife888

Geopolitics 73% +$5,852 $4,456 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Yes	10¢	14¢	+$65	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$218	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	77¢	96¢	+$108	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$77	win
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	11¢	10¢	$-14	loss
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	19¢	30¢	+$111	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	56¢	74¢	+$100	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	32¢	100¢	+$362	win
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026?	Yes	84¢	92¢	+$71	win
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	27¢	76¢	+$537	win

Other 33% +$187 $1,798 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	50¢	49¢	$-11	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	13¢	28¢	+$343	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	63¢	54¢	$-146	loss

Politics 0% $-48 $500 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?	Yes	2¢	2¢	+$0	—
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	66¢	63¢	$-12	loss
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-30	loss