emanuelIO

Economy 50% $-23 $239 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	50¢	4¢	+$1	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	50¢	96¢	+$0	—
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—

Other 0% $-55 $122 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	11¢	2¢	$-6	loss

Politics 54% $-77 $1,050 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 49 or fewer senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?	No	50¢	90¢	+$0	—
Will 49 or fewer senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?	Yes	50¢	10¢	$-57	loss
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-104	loss
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-111	loss

Tech 0% $-117 $608 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	No	17¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	No	31¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?	No	33¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-62	loss
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?	No	22¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175–180 in 2025?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175–180 in 2025?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-56	loss

Mentions 33% $-710 $225,398 vol · 1269 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	50¢	83¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	2¢	1¢	+$4	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	2¢	20¢	$-568	loss
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	50¢	78¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-482	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	50¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-752	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-629	loss
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—

Geopolitics 0% $-782 $1,157 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?	No	50¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	4¢	0¢	$-724	loss
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-9	loss