Win rate
31.7%
195 W / 421 L
Total PnL
$-153
realized $-2,999 · unrealized $2,846
Portfolio
$2,846
volume $1,198,039
Predictions
1,374
16.4/day · avg $872
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 53% +$642
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 34¢ | 31¢ | +$10 | win |
| Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Claude 4.7 released by May 31? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 72 million views on day 6? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 72 million views on day 6? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 14¢ | 0¢ | +$501 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | +$64 | win |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
Sports 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$1 | win |
Finance 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | No | 30¢ | 30¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 20% $-177
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 32¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
Weather 40% $-209
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 17? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 17? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 22-23°F on March 17? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 17? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on March 17? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on March 17? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 17? | Yes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 16? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 16? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 10% $-264
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 20? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 20? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 19? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 19? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 18? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 18? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 17? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 17? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 10? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 10? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 30% $-316
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 20¢ | 8¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? | No | 37¢ | 70¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Mentions 29% $-3,263
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 82¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-716 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$208 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$160 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 100¢ | +$160 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$147 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$139 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$104 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $400 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $250 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-15 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | $650 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-156 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 25.3¢ | 100¢ | +$469 | $912 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$397 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$395 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$395 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$354 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $600 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,150 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $60 | 14/04/2026 |