Win rate
47.2%
308 W / 345 L
Total PnL
$418
realized $-2,472 · unrealized $2,890
Portfolio
$2,890
volume $99,430
Predictions
1,003
30.5/day · avg $99
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 71% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 36¢ | 45¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 8¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Iowa" during National Agriculture Day events? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
Crypto 50% +$13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesana | Ethan Quinn | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Otto Virtanen | Otto Virtanen | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 7? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Copa Colsanitas: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Julieta Pareja | Julieta Pareja | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
Culture 50% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Pedro Boscardin Dias | Joao Lucas Da Silva | 42¢ | 50¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Economy 0% $-22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Finance 0% $-33
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
Elections 33% $-39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 83¢ | 90¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%? | No | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | No | 61¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Tisza win at least 130 seats? | No | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 36¢ | 1¢ | $-24 | loss |
Geopolitics 46% $-90
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30? | No | 85¢ | 94¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by April 30? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | No | 90¢ | 51¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 35¢ | 52¢ | +$18 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 66¢ | $-51 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | No | 37¢ | 16¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Marco Cecchinato | Valentin Royer | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Esports 53% $-438
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Vitality | 74¢ | 74¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 | Over | 46¢ | 46¢ | $-1 | loss |
| LoL: Aeterna Esports vs TITANS (BO1) - LIT Regular Season | Aeterna Esports | 51¢ | 30¢ | $-12 | loss |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Karmine Corp | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
| Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan: Playoffs | Crest Gaming Zst | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Valorant: Gen.G Global Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - VCL Korea: Playoffs | Gen.G Global Academy | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha | Bilibili Gaming | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Top Esports | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
Other 54% $-1,003
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | No | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting? | Yes | 76¢ | 54¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | No | 67¢ | 76¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? | Yes | 44¢ | 44¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Santa Cruz: Valerio Aboian vs Thiago Seyboth Wild | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Oeiras 3: Maja Chwalinska vs Simona Waltert | Maja Chwalinska | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
| Oeiras 3: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Max Houkes | Max Houkes | 50¢ | 54¢ | +$4 | win |
| Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Rei Sakamoto | Henrique Rocha | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
Sports 42% $-2,954
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 61¢ | 62¢ | +$1 | win |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 56¢ | 56¢ | $-1 | loss |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 56¢ | 56¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Toronto Blue Jays | 45¢ | 44¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics | Chicago White Sox | 42¢ | 42¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners | Texas Rangers | 45¢ | 46¢ | +$0 | win |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies | Los Angeles Dodgers | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$0 | win |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | Seattle Mariners | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 52¢ | 52¢ | $-1 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings vs. Flames: O/U 5.5 | Under | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $47 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | BNK FearX Youth | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $82 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Blues | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Mattia Bellucci | Mattia Bellucci | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayev | James Duckworth | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkate | Stefano Napolitano | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Predators | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskova | Karolina Pliskova | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Kraken | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Tagger | Lilli Tagger | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | Colorado Rockies | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Stefan Dostanic | Nishesh Basavareddy | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaur | Alex de Minaur | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5 | Under | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Utah | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $54 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Jets | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Magic | 39.0¢ | 40¢ | +$2 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Aeterna Esports vs TITANS (BO1) - LIT Regular Season | Aeterna Esports | 51.0¢ | 30¢ | $-12 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 33.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $26 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: Clippers (-4.5) | Warriors | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anastasia Potapova | Tamara Korpatsch | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Kilian Feldbausch | Kilian Feldbausch | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | Kansas City Royals | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 16/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna | Juan Manuel La Serna | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 16/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Blackhawks | Sharks | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 16/04/2026 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | Detroit Tigers | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | $63 | 16/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Karmine Corp | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $69 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 217.5 | Over | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $57 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 | Over | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $51 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $37 | 15/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Utah | Utah | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $86 | 15/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Wild | Wild | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $38 | 15/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan: Playoffs | Crest Gaming Zst | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $61 | 15/04/2026 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | San Diego Padres | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Gen.G Global Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - VCL Korea: Playoffs | Gen.G Global Academy | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $49 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur | Alex de Minaur | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) | Wild | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Suns (-4.5) | Trail Blazers | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |