Win rate
53.0%
35 W / 31 L
Total PnL
$91
realized $-688 · unrealized $779
Portfolio
$779
volume $11,651
Predictions
115
4.3/day · avg $101
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 19/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 62% +$155
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 29¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 38¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 40¢ | 43¢ | +$4 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | No | 34¢ | 24¢ | +$5 | win |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 45¢ | 47¢ | +$8 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 45¢ | 50¢ | +$5 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | No | 30¢ | 21¢ | $-9 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
Crypto 75% +$143
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Yes | 32¢ | 38¢ | +$6 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 40¢ | 14¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? | Yes | 32¢ | 42¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15? | No | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Solana Up or Down - April 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | Down | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Solana Up or Down - April 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | Down | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Up | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Solana Up or Down - April 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | Up | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | Up | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - April 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | Up | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
Sports 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 32¢ | 22¢ | $-3 | loss |
Elections 0% $-22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 14¢ | 10¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 42¢ | 34¢ | $-6 | loss |
Politics 50% $-38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 4¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 22¢ | 16¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 39¢ | 36¢ | +$5 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 25% $-70
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | No | 44¢ | 28¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 88¢ | 60¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | Yes | 41¢ | 30¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | +$2 | win |
| Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoe | Frances Tiafoe | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoe | Terence Atmane | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
Finance 0% $-76
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17? | Down | 40.0¢ | 14¢ | $-17 | $72 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? | Yes | 31.8¢ | 42¢ | +$10 | $67 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 31.7¢ | 22¢ | $-3 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16? | Down | 35.2¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $76 | 16/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 35.8¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $34 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15? | No | 38.8¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $32 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 62.2¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 15/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | Down | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $20 | 08/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | Down | 66.2¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $40 | 07/04/2026 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Up | 68.2¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $40 | 07/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | Up | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $20 | 07/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | Up | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | Up | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | Up | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | Down | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Up | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | Up | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Up | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | Up | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Down | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Up | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | Down | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Up | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | Yes | 43.8¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $52 | 31/03/2026 |
| Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoe | Frances Tiafoe | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $42 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $60 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 17.6¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 31/03/2026 |
| Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoe | Terence Atmane | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | No | 51.7¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $61 | 31/03/2026 |
| South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. South Dakota Coyotes | South Dakota Coyotes | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $23 | 24/11/2025 |
| Xavier Musketeers vs. Clemson Tigers | Clemson Tigers | 58.5¢ | 50¢ | $-6 | $21 | 23/11/2025 |
| Boston College Eagles vs. Utah State Aggies | Utah State Aggies | 60.0¢ | 50¢ | $-7 | $22 | 23/11/2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 45.3¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $77 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 84.5¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $97 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 12.3¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 01/01/1970 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 21.7¢ | 22¢ | +$1 | $40 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | No | 30.4¢ | 21¢ | $-9 | $30 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 24.8¢ | 28¢ | +$5 | $42 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 21.9¢ | 16¢ | $-7 | $26 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 16¢ | $-10 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 44¢ | $-1 | $52 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 39.8¢ | 43¢ | +$4 | $43 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 39.9¢ | 38¢ | $-2 | $34 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 52.6¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $59 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | No | 33.5¢ | 24¢ | +$5 | $57 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 30¢ | $-6 | $21 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 39.2¢ | 36¢ | +$5 | $54 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 44.6¢ | 47¢ | +$8 | $34 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 27.8¢ | 28¢ | +$2 | $21 | 30/04/2026 |