Win rate
28.8%
34 W / 84 L
Total PnL
$-26,597
realized $-33,687 · unrealized $7,090
Portfolio
$7,090
volume $5,656,510
Predictions
136
1.0/day · avg $41,592
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 36% $-1,073
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov | Makhmudov | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-1,440 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims) | Axel Sola | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | loss |
| UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) | Charles Oliveira | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$799 | win |
| UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims) | Cody Garbrandt | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$362 | win |
| UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card) | Reinier de Ridder | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card) | Michael Johnson | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-333 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) | Strickland | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | win |
| UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicano | Dariush | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$177 | win |
| UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-France | Kara-France | 30¢ | 0¢ | $-257 | loss |
| Mitchell vs. Gracie | Gracie | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Other 56% $-1,283
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Yes | 13¢ | 6¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$196 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,569 | loss |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$125 | win |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | loss |
Crypto 31% $-3,238
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | Up | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Down | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | Down | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Up | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | Down | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$225 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | Up | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | Up | 29¢ | 100¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | Down | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-486 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | Down | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-626 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | Down | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-724 | loss |
Politics 29% $-5,217
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 53¢ | 50¢ | +$753 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-3,719 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,960 | loss |
| Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | win |
Geopolitics 24% $-16,098
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$234 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | No | 59¢ | 34¢ | +$140 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$43 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 10¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-301 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 46¢ | 7¢ | $-6,902 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-541 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-1,725 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-161 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $102 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $-301 | $396 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-302 | $1,551 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $-1,960 | $2,035 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $-3,719 | $3,286 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 45.8¢ | 7¢ | $-6,902 | $15,923 | 15/04/2026 |
| Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov | Makhmudov | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,440 | $1,440 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $-541 | $541 | 10/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 100¢ | +$42,297 | $5,535 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $151 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $250 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 60.8¢ | 100¢ | +$196 | $304 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | +$83 | $531 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $137 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 12.3¢ | 0¢ | $-161 | $258 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-323 | $478 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1,569 | $1,953 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | 7.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1,725 | $2,805 | 31/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims) | Axel Sola | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | $72 | 22/03/2026 |
| UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) | Charles Oliveira | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$799 | $535 | 08/03/2026 |
| UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims) | Cody Garbrandt | 38.4¢ | 100¢ | +$362 | $323 | 08/03/2026 |
| UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card) | Reinier de Ridder | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 08/03/2026 |
| UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card) | Michael Johnson | 37.8¢ | 0¢ | $-333 | $472 | 08/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | $332 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 33.3¢ | 100¢ | +$7,544 | $15,806 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | +$32 | $439 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? | No | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $312 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $28 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-186 | $469 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-303 | $213 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-768 | $1,434 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $240 | 25/02/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) | Strickland | 51.8¢ | 100¢ | +$138 | $332 | 22/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | Up | 52.5¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $79 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Down | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $47 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | Down | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $60 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | Down | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$225 | $265 | 13/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | Up | 38.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 13/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | Up | 29.1¢ | 100¢ | $-61 | $190 | 13/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | Down | 64.4¢ | 0¢ | $-486 | $643 | 13/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | Down | 69.5¢ | 0¢ | $-626 | $626 | 13/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | Down | 72.4¢ | 0¢ | $-724 | $724 | 13/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | Down | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$280 | $586 | 09/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | Up | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $80 | 09/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $380 | 09/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | Down | 48.9¢ | 0¢ | $-659 | $979 | 09/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | Down | 43.3¢ | 0¢ | $-661 | $668 | 09/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $65 | 07/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 02/02/2026 |