Win rate
41.4%
72 W / 102 L
Total PnL
$3,479
realized $949 · unrealized $2,530
Portfolio
$2,530
volume $6,806,447
Predictions
276
1.4/day · avg $24,661
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 01/09/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Mentions 35% +$6,041
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-770 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-553 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | Yes | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-305 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$285 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-204 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-249 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-417 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-389 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-513 | loss |
Sports 80% +$925
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-249 | loss |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 19¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$973 | win |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
Economy 100% +$544
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$132 | win |
Crypto 60% +$101
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-234 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$81 | win |
| Will Gervonta Davis win by Points or Decision? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Esports 100% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | TheMongolz | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Politics 28% $-154
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in December? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Very Merry Christmas" in December? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy not shake hands? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9? | No | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 1 - 7) | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in November? | Yes | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Will Trump say "Pardon" this week (November 24–30)? | No | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Epstein" this week? (November 17 – 23) | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
Culture 14% $-247
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | loss |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-108 | loss |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
Tech 0% $-442
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | loss |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-135 | loss |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
Other 52% $-925
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | No | 10¢ | 10¢ | +$63 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 49¢ | 57¢ | +$436 | win |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-320 | loss |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Michigan State Spartans | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-1,400 | loss |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | No | 3¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,124 | loss |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | loss |
Geopolitics 60% $-1,683
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 44¢ | +$1,250 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 55¢ | 56¢ | $-193 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | +$350 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 50¢ | 90¢ | +$5 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 14¢ | 9¢ | $-1,010 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$603 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-521 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-3,213 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 15.3¢ | 100¢ | +$699 | $25,722 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $800 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 90¢ | +$5 | $250 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 13.9¢ | 9¢ | $-1,010 | $5,557 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | Yes | 18.6¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $163 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $187 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | $22 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | Yes | 38.5¢ | 0¢ | $-770 | $770 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-553 | $95 | 03/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | +$603 | $2,016 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$200 | $1,500 | 31/03/2026 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $90 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 22.5¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | $225 | 31/03/2026 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | No | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-320 | $320 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $-320 | $430 | 31/03/2026 |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Michigan State Spartans | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,400 | $1,850 | 28/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | TheMongolz | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $280 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | +$411 | $1,004 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | +$132 | $306 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | Yes | 21.5¢ | 0¢ | +$274 | $3,059 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | $115 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | Yes | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $-234 | $1,313 | 01/03/2026 |
| Maduro out by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 100¢ | +$400 | $100 | 28/02/2026 |
| Maduro out by February 28, 2026? | No | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$350 | $28 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | +$298 | $696 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $112 | 24/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | Yes | 9.6¢ | 0¢ | $-305 | $383 | 20/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026? | Yes | 31.5¢ | 100¢ | +$285 | $189 | 18/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 7.4¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $74 | 17/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $60 | 17/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 9.8¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $61 | 17/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-151 | $151 | 17/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | $160 | 17/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $-204 | $294 | 17/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026? | Yes | 20.3¢ | 0¢ | $-249 | $305 | 16/02/2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | No | 3.1¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $93 | 14/02/2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 14/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | Yes | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | $20 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | Yes | 5.7¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | $85 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $50 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $61 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $-417 | $417 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026? | Yes | 21.5¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $215 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $-389 | $441 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 19.1¢ | 0¢ | +$1,557 | $1,275 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | +$772 | $1,382 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 15.4¢ | 0¢ | +$147 | $1,789 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $286 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 7.6¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $38 | 10/02/2026 |