Win rate
67.3%
33 W / 16 L
Total PnL
$21,930
realized $-98,715 · unrealized $120,645
Portfolio
$120,645
volume $1,685,983
Predictions
47
0.7/day · avg $35,872
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/09/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 80% +$13,140
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 68¢ | 99¢ | +$12,195 | win |
| Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland | Canada | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$420 | win |
| Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia | Canada | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$640 | win |
| Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerland | Finland | 71¢ | 100¢ | $-195 | loss |
| Men's Round of 16 - Sweden vs. Latvia | Sweden | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
Elections 50% +$12,329
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$227 | win |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$12,201 | win |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | loss |
Politics 67% +$300
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 17¢ | 8¢ | +$300 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 92¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | win |
Sports 100% +$229
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2 | Usyk | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$229 | win |
Economy 60% $-695
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$520 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$320 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-810 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | Yes | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$1,000 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-1,725 | loss |
Geopolitics 68% $-3,230
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 41¢ | 42¢ | +$0 | — |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$5,300 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 30¢ | $-1,384 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$5,525 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 39¢ | 6¢ | $-620 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$700 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$136 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | No | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$292 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 99¢ | $-412 | loss |
| Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17? | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-155 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17? | No | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-155 | $155 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 75.6¢ | 100¢ | +$12,201 | $37,799 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 68.5¢ | 99¢ | +$12,195 | $27,396 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 97.6¢ | 0¢ | $-33,407 | $34,145 | 07/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3,976 | $193,918 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 35.7¢ | 0¢ | +$499 | $3,570 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 70.5¢ | 100¢ | +$420 | $7,050 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? | No | 82.0¢ | 91¢ | +$4 | $37 | 31/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$666 | $9,300 | 28/02/2026 |
| Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland | Canada | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$420 | $1,830 | 20/02/2026 |
| Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia | Canada | 87.2¢ | 100¢ | +$640 | $4,360 | 18/02/2026 |
| Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerland | Finland | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | $-195 | $710 | 18/02/2026 |
| Men's Round of 16 - Sweden vs. Latvia | Sweden | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $920 | 17/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 80.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,110 | $6,410 | 31/01/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$565 | $14,435 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$562 | $2,952 | 31/01/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $880 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $585 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk? | Yes | 56.8¢ | 0¢ | $-158 | $568 | 31/12/2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | Yes | 55.1¢ | 0¢ | $-427 | $743 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | No | 58.9¢ | 100¢ | $-554 | $1,769 | 31/12/2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 43.6¢ | 0¢ | $-604 | $6,057 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026? | No | 96.0¢ | 98¢ | +$175 | $9,600 | 31/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$520 | $480 | 10/12/2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $1,920 | 31/10/2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$160 | $1,660 | 30/09/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$320 | $1,400 | 17/09/2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | No | 81.5¢ | 100¢ | $-810 | $4,890 | 17/09/2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | No | 92.4¢ | 100¢ | +$263 | $3,697 | 31/08/2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$100 | $880 | 15/08/2025 |
| Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2 | Usyk | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$229 | $770 | 20/07/2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | No | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2,019 | $9,422 | 30/06/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | Yes | 53.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1,000 | $3,740 | 07/11/2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 49.2¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,475 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 45.7¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $914 | 04/11/2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | Yes | 57.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1,725 | $2,284 | 18/09/2024 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | No | 90.5¢ | 100¢ | +$12,381 | $117,619 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | No | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1,600 | $23,400 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1,943 | $19,860 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 94.8¢ | 99¢ | +$227 | $4,738 | 19/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 94.4¢ | 99¢ | $-412 | $162,818 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 92.6¢ | 94¢ | +$136 | $37,211 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | No | 95.3¢ | 97¢ | +$292 | $19,068 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 90.0¢ | 94¢ | +$700 | $18,000 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 71.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5,525 | $68,484 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 6¢ | $-620 | $3,510 | 30/06/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | 73.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5,300 | $14,700 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 8¢ | +$300 | $5,100 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 85.0¢ | 92¢ | $-100 | $8,500 | 31/12/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 30¢ | $-1,384 | $11,433 | 31/12/2026 |