Nightfr

Other 92% +$376 $85,635 vol · 88 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	No	89¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will Francesco Farioli be the next Chelsea manager?	No	99¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	36¢	36¢	+$4	win
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	73¢	70¢	+$10	win
Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Otto Virtanen	Carlos Alcaraz	98¢	100¢	+$24	win
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin Vacherot	Carlos Alcaraz	94¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	99¢	99¢	+$88	win

Mentions 100% +$238 $28,869 vol · 26 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk post 0-9 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$43	win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$5	win

Sports 100% +$137 $4,218 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Portugal record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Adama Traore sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Morten Hjulmand sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?	No	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?	No	91¢	100¢	+$55	win
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmann	Djokovic	84¢	100¢	+$48	win
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Nuno Borges	Djokovic	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Geopolitics 100% +$86 $8,354 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	50¢	70¢	+$0	—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	50¢	30¢	+$0	—
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	69¢	95¢	+$2	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	88¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$1	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
US x Iran meeting by April 13, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$15	win

Elections 75% +$79 $71,111 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	$-827	loss
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$827	win
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	84¢	91¢	+$16	win
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	87¢	100¢	$-74	loss
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	54¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	No	83¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 100% +$10 $1,659 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will XRP reach $6.00 in November?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 4AM ET	Down	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5AM ET	Down	49¢	100¢	+$6	win

Tech 100% +$9 $2,294 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	82¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Economy 100% +$2 $2,163 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win

Politics 84% $-486 $16,298 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Trump attend UFC 327?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Trump say "Messi" 3+ times during Inter Miami events on Thursday?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump attend UFC 325?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in December?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump say "Border" or "Tariff" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?	Yes	86¢	0¢	$-506	loss