Win rate
63.6%
14 W / 8 L
Total PnL
$16
realized $-874 · unrealized $889
Portfolio
$889
volume $201,597
Predictions
37
1.4/day · avg $5,449
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/02/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Elections 100% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 87¢ | 42¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 77¢ | 77¢ | +$8 | win |
Other 60% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$10 | win |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 80% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$2 | win |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | loss |
Sports 50% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 86¢ | 85¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Crypto 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
Economy 0% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 93¢ | 96¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (40)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $8,556 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $863 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 1¢ | +$2 | $28 | 30/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $862 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 1¢ | $-2 | $31 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 11.8¢ | 12¢ | +$10 | $482 | 31/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $951 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 76.9¢ | 77¢ | +$8 | $969 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $879 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.8¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $870 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $694 | 17/06/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 97.6¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | $4,125 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $9,074 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.9¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | $887 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $872 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 85.5¢ | 85¢ | $-12 | $873 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 92.6¢ | 93¢ | +$5 | $1,826 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90.0¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | $884 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12.8¢ | 11¢ | +$0 | $242 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16.2¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | $317 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 92.6¢ | 96¢ | $-8 | $969 | 29/07/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.1¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $1,849 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 87.2¢ | 42¢ | +$5 | $879 | 03/11/2026 |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $30 | 30/11/2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 3¢ | +$1 | $23 | 09/12/2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 2.9¢ | 3¢ | $-4 | $61 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Yes | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $7,691 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 97.2¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | $877 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 93.3¢ | 93¢ | +$2 | $965 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 97.7¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | $567 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.3¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $948 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $948 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 75.7¢ | 73¢ | +$0 | $871 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.8¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $949 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $942 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.2¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $24 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.3¢ | 27¢ | +$0 | $549 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $40 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $22 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $31 | 07/11/2028 |