Win rate
35.0%
7 W / 13 L
Total PnL
$-6
realized $-562 · unrealized $556
Portfolio
$556
volume $9,500
Predictions
21
0.4/day · avg $452
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/11/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Tech 71% +$21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Other 40% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 18¢ | 49¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Economy 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 85¢ | 18¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 38¢ | $-27 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (22)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $63 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $63 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $64 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $59 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $179 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $55 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $57 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $64 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $114 | 31/01/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $57 | 28/01/2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $57 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $21 | 31/12/2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 18¢ | $-0 | $21 | 31/12/2025 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 38¢ | $-27 | $567 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $557 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 49¢ | +$0 | $188 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $558 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $559 | 17/06/2026 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 91.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 95.4¢ | 95¢ | $-1 | $558 | 30/06/2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | 97.3¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $63 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $64 | 20/07/2026 |