Win rate
82.5%
329 W / 70 L
Total PnL
$1,594
realized $453 · unrealized $1,141
Portfolio
$1,141
volume $396,118
Predictions
2,638
157.5/day · avg $150
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Economy 100% +$211
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 20¢ | 20¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 23¢ | 92¢ | +$211 | win |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
Other 81% +$202
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Kirk Cousins play for Cincinnati Bengals in 2026-27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? | No | 90¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will SINNERS win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Gaimin Gladiators win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | No | 100¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 86% +$40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Chapecoense win Brazil Série A? | No | 100¢ | 93¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Universidad Católica win Copa Libertadores? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Connecticut Sun win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | Yes | -1¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Amen Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 24¢ | 23¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 80¢ | 78¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 89% +$32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? | No | 21¢ | 25¢ | +$0 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 48¢ | 48¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 87¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 42¢ | 51¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 32¢ | 34¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
Weather 87% +$28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hurricanes win? | Yes | 43¢ | 46¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Hurricanes win? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 18? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on April 16? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 16? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 15? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Mentions 85% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will CZ post 140-159 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Tech 73% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 20, 2026? | Yes | -0¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Yes | -0¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 98¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Microsoft have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 19, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the winner of the Albania/Poland/Sweden/Ukraine playoff win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 88¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | — |
Finance 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day? | No | 16¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the S&P 500 (SPX) open at <6600 on April 8? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 79¢ | 72¢ | +$0 | — |
Esports 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FUT Esports win PGL Bucharest 2026? | No | 80¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Culture 67% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Indiana Jones and the Great Circle win the Audio Achievement category at the 2026 BAFTA Games Awards? | No | 99¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $10m and $11m? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will "Bully - Kanye West" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 11? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2025-2026 Naismith Men's College Player of the Year Award? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 60% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Chellie Pingree be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Rosemary Oglesby-Henry be the Republican nominee for OH-01? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 17, 2026? | No | 65¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will White House post 80-99 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 70% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mika Biereth be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 5? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 5? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 5? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 5? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 4? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 4? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 3? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 3? | No | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $63 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $236 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $115 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will someone else win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $236 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca end in a draw? | No | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $121 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%? | No | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $98 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Alamar Biosciences not IPO before June 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $162 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the match end in a draw? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $279 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Northampton Saints win? | No | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $402 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Brumbies win? | No | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $135 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Aleksandra Goryachkina win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $153 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.5 and 4.0%? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $140 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $203 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Highlanders win? | No | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $183 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $234 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Indiana Jones and the Great Circle win the Audio Achievement category at the 2026 BAFTA Games Awards? | No | 98.7¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $149 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $140 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $115 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $87 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $86 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $87 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day? | No | 16.0¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 3.5%? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $140 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $235 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $87 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 6.0%? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $140 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | No | 31.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $140 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Tan Zhongyi win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Divya Deshmukh win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will White House post 80-99 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $89 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Zhu Jiner win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament? | Yes | -1.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $126 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on April 16? | Yes | -0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $162 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on April 16? | Yes | -0.2¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $162 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 16? | Yes | -0.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Jadoodoo win the Legend Trade Series? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on April 16? | No | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $74 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 14, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 16? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $103 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 16, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 15, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will none of the eaglets hatch before April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 13, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $49 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $93 | 16/04/2026 |