elPolloLoco

Crypto 75% +$677,336 $23,811,185 vol · 2104 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	20¢	18¢	+$16	win
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	51¢	0¢	$-1,447	loss
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	80¢	44¢	+$1	win
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	Yes	15¢	2¢	$-3,461	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?	Yes	28¢	22¢	$-135	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19?	No	96¢	94¢	$-24	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12?	No	95¢	100¢	$-792	loss
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 April 6-12?	No	76¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 5?	No	44¢	0¢	$-437	loss

Politics 52% +$26,302 $455,366 vol · 122 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-44	loss
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	98¢	97¢	$-15	loss
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	96¢	95¢	$-2	loss
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?	No	98¢	100¢	+$261	win
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump resign in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 24?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win

Economy 63% +$11,391 $253,970 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$733	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	72¢	100¢	+$0	—
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-7,388	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	90¢	100¢	+$1,118	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	No	97¢	100¢	+$34	win
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$320	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	+$9	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$94	win
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-270	loss
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?	No	72¢	100¢	+$32	win

Tech 100% +$2,844 $76,818 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google reach $395 in January?	No	97¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will David Corenswet be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?	No	95¢	100¢	+$236	win
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$44	win
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	88¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of December?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $375–400 in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Pope Francis rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 1 above $395?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$202	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of December 1 above $195?	No	95¢	100¢	+$25	win

Culture 60% +$1,402 $97,725 vol · 53 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	98¢	100¢	$-14	loss
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	97¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Frankenstein win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	96¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Dwayne Johnson win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Frankenstein win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	96¢	100¢	$-1,829	loss
Will Abbott Elementary win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?	No	95¢	100¢	+$162	win

Mentions 94% +$505 $46,052 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$59	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	No	94¢	100¢	+$120	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?	No	88¢	0¢	$-770	loss
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon tweet between 360 and 379 times September 5–12?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon tweet 355–369 times August 29–September 5?	No	97¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times August 22–August 29?	No	95¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Elon tweet 525–549 times August 15–August 22?	No	97¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?	No	96¢	100¢	+$107	win

Finance 100% +$74 $1,614 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?	No	94¢	99¢	+$74	win
Fed rate hike in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$0	win

Weather 80% $-67 $10,421 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 73-74°F on September 10?	No	98¢	0¢	$-6,755	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 27?	No	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 89°F or higher on August 25?	No	96¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$6,672	win
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?	No	90¢	100¢	+$6	win

Elections 53% $-17,583 $564,212 vol · 176 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-22	loss
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	97¢	99¢	$-62	loss
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	98¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	No	98¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will AV (Green Alliance) win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	No	97¢	100¢	$-1,026	loss
Will Bloc Quebecois win between 10 and 15 seats in the next Canadian Election?	No	85¢	100¢	+$149	win
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?	No	95¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Evelyn Matthei win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	No	96¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Mary Lou McDonald win the Irish Presidential Election?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 48% $-21,913 $1,930,817 vol · 651 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	99¢	99¢	$-319	loss
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	66¢	99¢	+$252	win
Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	65¢	99¢	+$74	win
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	93¢	98¢	$-53	loss
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	50¢	52¢	+$0	—
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	65¢	100¢	+$0	—
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	58¢	100¢	+$29	win
Canucks vs. Oilers	Oilers	72¢	100¢	+$9	win
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5	Under	50¢	0¢	+$0	—
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5	Under	43¢	100¢	+$12,443	win

Esports 61% $-41,552 $688,547 vol · 105 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Cloud9	58¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	FURIA Esports	33¢	100¢	$-249	loss
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Leviatán Esports	44¢	100¢	$-275	loss
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha	TEC Esports	41¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega	Wolves Esports	25¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	Gen.G Esports	26¢	100¢	$-84	loss
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha	JD Gaming	61¢	100¢	$-225	loss
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	MVK Esports	41¢	0¢	+$22	win
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BNK FEARX	34¢	0¢	$-38	loss
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Weibo Gaming	76¢	100¢	+$2,717	win

Geopolitics 66% $-98,661 $497,452 vol · 62 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$1,016	win
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$50	win
Maple Leafs vs. Senators	Senators	61¢	100¢	$-16	loss
Senators vs. Islanders	Islanders	46¢	0¢	$-3,864	loss
Panthers vs. Senators	Panthers	27¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by June 30, 2026?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$76	win
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$160	win
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-106	loss
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$120	win

Other 49% $-170,728 $2,356,839 vol · 597 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	97¢	99¢	+$13	win
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	96¢	95¢	$-132	loss
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	98¢	98¢	+$1	win
Will Inter finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	No	12¢	2¢	$-154	loss
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-2,204	loss
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	88¢	100¢	+$71	win
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	65¢	17¢	$-152	loss
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	61¢	63¢	+$124	win
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Gujarat Titans	58¢	100¢	+$20	win
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	Dplus KIA	42¢	100¢	$-1	loss