2121212121

Sports 62% +$1,620 $105,883 vol · 72 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	32¢	34¢	$-1	loss
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Darwin Blanch vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Darwin Blanch	99¢	100¢	$-86	loss
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand	India	91¢	100¢	+$361	win
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand	New Zealand	32¢	0¢	$-3	loss
T20 World Cup: England vs India	India	83¢	100¢	+$688	win
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand	New Zealand	97¢	100¢	+$20	win
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand	South Africa	46¢	0¢	$-275	loss
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)	Michael Johnson	36¢	0¢	+$236	win

Geopolitics 50% +$48 $6,052 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	49¢	0¢	+$0	—
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?	No	78¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$162	win
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-2	loss
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Israel military action against Iran before July?	Yes	23¢	100¢	+$11	win

Tech 100% +$2 $500 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Meta announce Instagram sale in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 100% +$1 $150 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be less than 0.5%?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Culture 80% +$0 $500 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Frankenstein win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will "Run Away" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Mentions 100% +$0 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 50% $-0 $150 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	97¢	96¢	+$0	win
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Esports 0% $-10 $50 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Heroic	54¢	0¢	$-10	loss

Politics 40% $-18 $562 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump out as President by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?	Yes	62¢	0¢	$-13	loss
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	No	89¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Finance 33% $-56 $1,829 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Anna Bondar	Madison Keys	87¢	100¢	$-5	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?	Up	86¢	100¢	$-52	loss
Remote IPO in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Other 53% $-1,981 $104,228 vol · 160 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	71¢	45¢	$-75	loss
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Real Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	19¢	2¢	$-71	loss
Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?	Yes	97¢	98¢	$-1	loss
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	13¢	12¢	$-3	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	19¢	46¢	$-150	loss
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Kolkata Knight Riders	40¢	40¢	$-1	loss
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings	Mumbai Indians	45¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	29¢	0¢	$-267	loss

Crypto 83% $-2,525 $510,081 vol · 171 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Ethan Cook	Fajing Sun	92¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	89¢	100¢	+$5	win
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	40¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on February 16?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on February 15?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on February 14?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 13?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—