Win rate
26.7%
28 W / 77 L
Total PnL
$691
realized $-179 · unrealized $870
Portfolio
$870
volume $300,014
Predictions
116
2.4/day · avg $2,586
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 21/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 87% +$2,568
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card) | Renato Moicano | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$2,583 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 0% $-30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
Weather 0% $-60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5 | Over | 51¢ | 100¢ | $-60 | loss |
Other 23% $-477
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | BNK FEARX | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | loss |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | Over | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | loss |
| Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-131 | loss |
| Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-168 | loss |
Sports 5% $-1,605
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Knicks vs. Lakers | Knicks | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | loss |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) | Knicks | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | win |
| Bucks vs. Wizards | Bucks | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-1,584 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card) | Renato Moicano | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2,583 | $1,795 | 05/04/2026 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5 | Over | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | $-60 | $765 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $122 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $57 | 17/03/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | BNK FEARX | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | $119 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,483 | 15/03/2026 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | Over | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-101 | $101 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $116 | 09/03/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Lakers | Knicks | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-118 | $118 | 08/03/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $75 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-131 | $131 | 07/03/2026 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) | Knicks | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | $148 | 05/03/2026 |
| Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? | Yes | 27.4¢ | 0¢ | $-168 | $168 | 03/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.2¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $42 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 25/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 9? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 9? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 8? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 03/02/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $64 | 01/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $42 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| Bucks vs. Wizards | Bucks | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,584 | $1,584 | 30/01/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,472 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $865 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,304 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,386 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,380 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,436 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,682 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $682 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,505 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,177 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $3,228 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,587 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,776 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,136 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,290 | 01/07/2026 |