Win rate
50.0%
6 W / 6 L
Total PnL
$4,554
realized $3,665 · unrealized $889
Portfolio
$889
volume $91,789
Predictions
12
0.8/day · avg $7,649
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 03/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 80% +$4,779
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 15¢ | 3¢ | $-49 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 40¢ | +$139 | win |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 6¢ | 100¢ | +$870 | win |
Politics 50% +$133
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | loss |
Economy 0% $-376
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 14¢ | 12¢ | $-152 | loss |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $-79 | loss |
Recent Trades (12)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 100¢ | +$870 | $58 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | Yes | 13.3¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $148 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | Yes | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $-105 | $118 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 1.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3,811 | $93 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026? | Yes | 11.5¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $177 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 15.7¢ | 40¢ | +$139 | $501 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026? | Yes | 20.2¢ | 28¢ | +$248 | $640 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 4.7¢ | 5¢ | +$36 | $118 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 3¢ | $-49 | $184 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.3¢ | 2¢ | $-79 | $340 | 17/06/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.4¢ | 4¢ | $-145 | $318 | 29/07/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 14.2¢ | 12¢ | $-152 | $434 | 29/07/2026 |