calvinhobbes123

Tech 87% +$4,132 $140,498 vol · 296 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 8?	No	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?	Yes	99¢	97¢	$-1	loss
Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?	Yes	91¢	82¢	$-3	loss
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 83% +$834 $43,886 vol · 156 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	9¢	10¢	+$2	win
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?	No	99¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?	No	99¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?	No	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will MLB be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?	No	97¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$32	win

Other 83% +$771 $47,502 vol · 138 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?	Yes	80¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	31¢	23¢	$-6	loss
Will the Patek Index hit $103,000 (LOW) by April 30?	No	87¢	99¢	+$9	win
Will the Patek Index hit $106,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	84¢	59¢	+$0	win
Will the Audemars Piguet Index hit $40,000 (LOW) by April 30?	No	85¢	98¢	+$25	win
Gold (GC) Up or Down on March 23?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Silver (SI) Up or Down on March 23?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 be less than 1,500,000?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 - 8 be between 13,000,000 and 13,250,000?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 7 be greater than 2,300,000?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win

Elections 80% +$233 $2,361 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?	No	94¢	100¢	+$52	win
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$36	win
French election called by October 31?	No	59¢	100¢	+$86	win
Georgescu banned from Romania election?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Culture 67% +$214 $4,597 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	No	87¢	100¢	+$52	win
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	82¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-444	loss

Weather 94% +$139 $21,646 vol · 49 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 31, 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 17?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 16?	No	96¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 15?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 14?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 13?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 9°C on April 9?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C or below on April 8?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 7?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or higher on April 6?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win

Politics 80% +$95 $8,515 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will White House post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will White House post 100-119 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$105	win
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	86¢	100¢	+$70	win
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in December?	No	96¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico by December 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Trump cut military spending?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-8	loss

Crypto 68% +$92 $5,446 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Ethereum above 2,215 on March 21, 11AM ET?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?	Yes	75¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	47¢	100¢	+$59	win
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	49¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	60¢	100¢	+$51	win
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	51¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	69¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	39¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	40¢	0¢	$-71	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	73¢	100¢	+$11	win

Esports 57% +$27 $1,193 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)	Team CS2NEWS	58¢	100¢	+$30	win
Counter-Strike: 33 vs GenOne (BO3)	GenOne	93¢	100¢	+$28	win
Counter-Strike: Team zoneR vs CyberDynamo (BO3)	CyberDynamo	76¢	100¢	+$15	win
Counter-Strike: Team zoneR vs CyberDynamo (BO3)	Team zoneR	45¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)	Team Shadowkek	42¢	0¢	$-29	loss
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. FlyQuest	Gen.G	91¢	100¢	+$20	win
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. T1	T1	91¢	100¢	$-9	loss

Finance 83% +$20 $530 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Anduril IPO before 2027?	Yes	47¢	8¢	+$2	win
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	53¢	48¢	$-3	loss
Discord IPO in 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$3	win

Geopolitics 73% +$20 $4,061 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 10, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-14	loss
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$25	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	No	85¢	100¢	$-46	loss
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?	No	98¢	100¢	+$9	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	Yes	55¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?	No	94¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$7	win
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?	No	98¢	100¢	+$9	win
US strikes Iran by October 3?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win

Mentions 25% $-290 $3,536 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	Yes	84¢	0¢	$-252	loss