sd45

Economy 0% $-1 $456 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Politics 25% $-21 $3,373 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	99¢	99¢	$-1	loss
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?	No	56¢	73¢	$-21	loss
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	No	65¢	100¢	+$2	win

Weather 25% $-27 $183 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 18?	Yes	51¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?	Yes	88¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 18?	No	42¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 18?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-24	loss

Geopolitics 33% $-44 $1,567 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$51	win
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	43¢	68¢	+$6	win
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	52¢	32¢	+$3	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	55¢	24¢	$-2	loss
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?	No	71¢	82¢	$-4	loss
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Senators vs. Devils	Devils	46¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	75¢	48¢	$-20	loss
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026??	Yes	18¢	14¢	$-38	loss

Esports 32% $-109 $7,287 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: MIBR vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	LOUD	7¢	8¢	+$7	win
Valorant: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matches	JD Gaming	58¢	0¢	+$0	—
Valorant: TYLOO vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matches	TYLOO	77¢	100¢	+$0	—
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	70¢	100¢	+$0	—
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	46¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs EVOPLAY (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs	EVOPLAY	36¢	0¢	$-103	loss
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega	Nova Esports	64¢	100¢	+$0	—
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega	EDward Gaming	81¢	0¢	+$0	—
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega	Trace Esports	47¢	0¢	+$6	win
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega	Dragon Ranger Gaming	52¢	100¢	$-4	loss

Crypto 50% $-123 $183 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 16?	Up	60¢	100¢	+$24	win
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 16?	Down	49¢	0¢	$-147	loss

Sports 32% $-134 $10,163 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	No	25¢	72¢	+$30	win
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	Yes	81¢	28¢	$-64	loss
LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30?	No	66¢	71¢	$-6	loss
Flyers vs. Penguins	Penguins	55¢	56¢	+$0	—
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	43¢	100¢	$-14	loss
Spread: Utah (-1.5)	Blues	79¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)	Warriors	37¢	100¢	+$85	win
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 16?	Down	43¢	0¢	+$10	win
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 16?	Up	56¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)	Clippers	62¢	0¢	$-78	loss

Finance 0% $-149 $1,315 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?	Up	56¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-13	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	58¢	100¢	$-21	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?	Down	32¢	0¢	$-67	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 16?	Up	66¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Arxis’s market cap be between $12B and $13B at market close on IPO day?	No	68¢	100¢	$-6	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 16?	Down	34¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Elections 33% $-150 $1,874 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 Special Election by between 35% and 40%?	No	98¢	100¢	$-41	loss
Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 Special Election by between 30% and 35%?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	63¢	82¢	$-6	loss
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-3	loss

Tech 46% $-493 $2,086 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 16?	Down	45¢	100¢	+$82	win
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 16?	Down	39¢	100¢	+$63	win
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 16?	Up	60¢	0¢	+$1	win
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 16?	Down	40¢	100¢	+$1	win
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 16?	Down	21¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 16?	Down	38¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 16?	Down	52¢	0¢	$-52	loss
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 16?	Up	65¢	0¢	$-130	loss
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 16?	Up	59¢	0¢	$-193	loss
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 16?	Up	56¢	0¢	$-250	loss

Other 17% $-791 $12,750 vol · 51 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	24¢	24¢	$-3	loss
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	Yes	66¢	64¢	$-3	loss
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	63¢	76¢	$-9	loss
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	35¢	24¢	$-24	loss
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers	7¢	0¢	$-389	loss
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	57¢	100¢	+$126	win
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on April 17?	No	55¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will CA Peñarol vs. CA Platense end in a draw?	No	70¢	100¢	+$0	—
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 17?	Yes	70¢	0¢	$-324	loss