Win rate
54.5%
6 W / 5 L
Total PnL
$-19
realized $-708 · unrealized $688
Portfolio
$688
volume $8,736
Predictions
56
0.6/day · avg $156
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 80% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Getafe win on 2025-11-28? | Yes | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | 58¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Weather 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 40% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (17)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | 58.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $56 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will Getafe win on 2025-11-28? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 28/11/2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 26/10/2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $50 | 31/08/2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $49 | 15/08/2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $57 | 31/07/2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $37 | 31/07/2025 |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $33 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.3¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | $687 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $44 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $669 | 30/11/2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 93.9¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $49 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.5¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $687 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.6¢ | 2¢ | $-1 | $31 | 07/11/2028 |