Win rate
40.0%
6 W / 9 L
Total PnL
$-38
realized $-568 · unrealized $530
Portfolio
$530
volume $29,031
Predictions
28
0.6/day · avg $1,037
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 19/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 73¢ | 73¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27¢ | 27¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 67% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrey Rublev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 85¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 94¢ | 95¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 8¢ | 5¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Michael McDowell win the Irish Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Culture 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Other 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Economy 0% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in July? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (23)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $572 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $360 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | No | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $428 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $155 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $155 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $131 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Michael McDowell win the Irish Presidential Election? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $155 | 11/11/2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in July? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $145 | 01/08/2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $159 | 30/06/2025 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $50 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | No | 97.2¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | $574 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 93.5¢ | 95¢ | $-1 | $667 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 87.9¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | $530 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 94.1¢ | 95¢ | +$1 | $574 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 84.8¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | $153 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Andrey Rublev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $182 | 12/07/2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 91.3¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $106 | 30/09/2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 8.5¢ | 5¢ | +$0 | $53 | 30/09/2026 |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $575 | 30/11/2026 |
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 97.9¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $633 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 4¢ | +$6 | $48 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 72.9¢ | 73¢ | +$1 | $575 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.4¢ | 27¢ | +$0 | $370 | 07/11/2028 |