Win rate
28.6%
4 W / 10 L
Total PnL
$-4,087
realized $-14,990 · unrealized $10,903
Portfolio
$10,903
volume $327,672
Predictions
16
0.5/day · avg $20,480
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 38% +$47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 42¢ | 46¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 27¢ | 32¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 9¢ | $-68 | loss |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | 21¢ | 4¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | +$147 | win |
Politics 0% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 29¢ | 16¢ | $-21 | loss |
Other 20% $-4,111
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-2,807 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $-1,584 | loss |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-552 | loss |
Recent Trades (14)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | Yes | 34.6¢ | 0¢ | $-552 | $608 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | +$147 | $319 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 10¢ | $-34 | $307 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 8¢ | $-1,584 | $9,545 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 4¢ | $-3 | $30 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 2¢ | $-20 | $169 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 34.9¢ | 42¢ | +$866 | $12,891 | 31/12/2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 41.9¢ | 46¢ | +$5 | $128 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 32.8¢ | 14¢ | +$2 | $63 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes | 10.2¢ | 10¢ | $-5 | $69 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 32¢ | $-10 | $111 | 31/12/2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 28.7¢ | 16¢ | $-21 | $119 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 9¢ | $-68 | $1,234 | 31/12/2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | Yes | 3.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,807 | $1,656 | 31/12/2026 |