Win rate
28.3%
26 W / 66 L
Total PnL
$1,236
realized $-286 · unrealized $1,522
Portfolio
$1,522
volume $285,315
Predictions
110
2.2/day · avg $2,594
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 14% +$986
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Hawks vs. Celtics | Celtics | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$1,010 | win |
| Hornets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Suns vs. Raptors | Raptors | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Panthers vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | loss |
| Panthers vs. Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
Other 33% +$224
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Taylor Pendrith win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12? | No | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11? | Yes | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | loss |
| Jones vs. Gentzsch: Match O/U 23.5 | Over | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 71% +$143
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Senators vs. Canucks | Senators | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Senators vs. Hurricanes | Hurricanes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09? | No | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
Economy 80% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
Politics 7% $-26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,963 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,014 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Taylor Pendrith win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,274 | 13/04/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $28 | 31/03/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Celtics | Celtics | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,010 | $1,960 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $466 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $506 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $952 | 15/03/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $74 | 14/03/2026 |
| Suns vs. Raptors | Raptors | 61.9¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $90 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12? | No | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $144 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $82 | 11/03/2026 |
| Senators vs. Canucks | Senators | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $61 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10? | Yes | 55.9¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | $109 | 10/03/2026 |
| Jones vs. Gentzsch: Match O/U 23.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 50¢ | +$0 | $108 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-08? | No | 37.0¢ | 100¢ | +$224 | $132 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-07? | No | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $76 | 07/03/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | $112 | 07/03/2026 |
| Panthers vs. Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $73 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28? | No | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $71 | 28/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 98.8¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $32 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 11? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $47 | 06/02/2026 |
| Senators vs. Hurricanes | Hurricanes | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $101 | 04/02/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $27 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $756 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $129 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $415 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 31/01/2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $85 | 28/01/2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $723 | 28/01/2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $784 | 23/01/2026 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18? | Yes | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | $121 | 18/01/2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17? | Yes | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $24 | 17/01/2026 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09? | No | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $57 | 09/01/2026 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-09? | No | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | $82 | 09/01/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 84.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $1,512 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,845 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,914 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $1,999 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $3,492 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $4,406 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $3,527 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,026 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,123 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,568 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $972 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,534 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $3,704 | 01/07/2026 |