Win rate
47.1%
8 W / 9 L
Total PnL
$-2
realized $-725 · unrealized $723
Portfolio
$723
volume $41,303
Predictions
55
1.2/day · avg $751
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 25/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 67% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 12¢ | 10¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 22¢ | 23¢ | +$10 | win |
Other 57% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 3¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 31¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 69¢ | 2¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | No | 29¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | Yes | 71¢ | 8¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 25% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 33% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27¢ | 27¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (35)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | 82.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | No | 93.2¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $24 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $25 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29? | No | 23.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $24 | 29/11/2025 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $148 | 29/11/2025 |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 29/11/2025 |
| Will Wolves win on 2025-11-22? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $22 | 22/11/2025 |
| Will Wolves win on 2025-11-22? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 22/11/2025 |
| Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 22/11/2025 |
| Miami vs. Virginia Tech | Miami | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 22/11/2025 |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22? | No | 31.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 22/11/2025 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $38 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 69.0¢ | 2¢ | $-1 | $91 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | $87 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.1¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | $648 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 23¢ | +$10 | $578 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $493 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | $32 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $192 | 17/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | 94.5¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | $91 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.4¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $723 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 97.9¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | $47 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | No | 29.0¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | $37 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | Yes | 71.0¢ | 8¢ | +$0 | $21 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $25 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 86.0¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | $71 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98.4¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $658 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 11.6¢ | 10¢ | +$2 | $101 | 20/09/2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 2.6¢ | 3¢ | $-1 | $33 | 09/12/2026 |
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 93.8¢ | 98¢ | +$4 | $592 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 97.4¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | $1,205 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 94.4¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $105 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 96.9¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $279 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.1¢ | 27¢ | $-1 | $509 | 07/11/2028 |