Win rate
48.8%
20 W / 21 L
Total PnL
$1,011
realized $-119 · unrealized $1,130
Portfolio
$1,130
volume $134,518
Predictions
87
3.0/day · avg $1,546
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 55% +$1,131
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 27¢ | 25¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 77¢ | 83¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%? | Yes | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$65 | win |
| Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 51¢ | 54¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election? | No | 55¢ | 55¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Union Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will People's Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | loss |
Other 50% +$92
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 6¢ | 6¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27? | No | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | win |
Politics 50% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa? | Yes | 59¢ | 55¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-35
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
Crypto 43% $-262
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Up | 19¢ | 0¢ | +$30 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Up | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Down | 13¢ | 0¢ | +$15 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Up | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Down | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Down | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Up | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | Up | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Up | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
Recent Trades (42)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | Yes | 73.2¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $97 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%? | Yes | 43.9¢ | 85¢ | +$133 | $219 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%? | Yes | 10.2¢ | 12¢ | +$65 | $201 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 24.5¢ | 16¢ | +$0 | $113 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 77.3¢ | 83¢ | $-9 | $348 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | $77 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Up | 19.5¢ | 0¢ | +$30 | $34 | 09/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Up | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $61 | 09/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Down | 13.4¢ | 0¢ | +$15 | $73 | 09/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Up | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $22 | 09/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Down | 68.5¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 09/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Down | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 51.0¢ | 54¢ | +$5 | $99 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election? | No | 55.0¢ | 55¢ | +$0 | $58 | 09/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Up | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $28 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | Up | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $25 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Up | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $28 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 30/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | Down | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 28/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Up | 33.5¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 28/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | Down | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Social Democratic Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will Union Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election? | Yes | 5.8¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $39 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will People's Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election? | No | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 26/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | Up | 31.1¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27? | No | 33.0¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $52 | 30/01/2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | No | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa? | Yes | 58.8¢ | 55¢ | $-8 | $118 | 02/06/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 35.5¢ | 34¢ | $-40 | $710 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$27 | $21 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 14.3¢ | 10¢ | +$13 | $484 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 85.0¢ | 90¢ | +$8 | $170 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 27.3¢ | 25¢ | $-1 | $208 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $33 | 03/11/2026 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 4.3¢ | 4¢ | +$11 | $62 | 03/11/2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 14.8¢ | 14¢ | +$61 | $824 | 03/11/2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 10.4¢ | 60¢ | +$1,090 | $315 | 03/11/2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 14¢ | +$63 | $23 | 03/11/2026 |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 11.7¢ | 5¢ | $-10 | $133 | 03/11/2026 |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 11.3¢ | 8¢ | $-23 | $80 | 03/11/2026 |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $62 | 03/11/2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 6.0¢ | 6¢ | $-2 | $30 | 01/01/2028 |