Win rate
42.9%
18 W / 24 L
Total PnL
$-44
realized $-856 · unrealized $812
Portfolio
$812
volume $190,022
Predictions
56
2.4/day · avg $3,393
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 40% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 12¢ | 10¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 78¢ | 78¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | loss |
Crypto 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Other 38% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 8¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | — |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | +$-0 | loss |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Yes | 6¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | No | 85¢ | 97¢ | $-6 | loss |
Politics 50% $-15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 75¢ | 73¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 63¢ | 61¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | loss |
Sports 50% $-15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 11¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 82¢ | 85¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 78¢ | 77¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 23¢ | 23¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | +$5 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $830 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $915 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $919 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $54 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $833 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $829 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 97.6¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $834 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | $833 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $27 | 24/05/2026 |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 3¢ | $-2 | $104 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | No | 85.1¢ | 97¢ | $-6 | $844 | 30/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | Yes | 2.9¢ | 2¢ | +$-0 | $41 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.5¢ | 88¢ | +$1 | $894 | 31/05/2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 96.7¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $821 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $824 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $834 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 7.6¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | $159 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,644 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 95.8¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | $846 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 77.7¢ | 78¢ | $-1 | $813 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.8¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $894 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 2.9¢ | 1¢ | +$5 | $70 | 13/06/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | No | 97.4¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $839 | 13/06/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $2,582 | 16/06/2026 |
| Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $828 | 21/06/2026 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | 94.2¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $843 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 78.4¢ | 77¢ | $-5 | $911 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 22.7¢ | 23¢ | $-5 | $393 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 1¢ | +$2 | $22 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.8¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | $1,732 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $828 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $829 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | $22 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 81.9¢ | 85¢ | $-8 | $2,059 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 93.0¢ | 93¢ | +$1 | $830 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2.8¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | $26 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $929 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12.9¢ | 11¢ | +$0 | $123 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98.1¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $831 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 11.9¢ | 10¢ | +$3 | $118 | 20/09/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $1,754 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | No | 97.4¢ | 96¢ | $-2 | $844 | 01/11/2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 97.4¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | $842 | 09/12/2026 |
| Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 98.0¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $814 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91.1¢ | 91¢ | $-2 | $833 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 94.1¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | $1,744 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24.2¢ | 27¢ | +$5 | $400 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.1¢ | 97¢ | +$4 | $2,482 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 94.5¢ | 95¢ | +$3 | $839 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 92.0¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | $832 | 07/11/2028 |