TestingThingsOut

Elections 67% +$17,123 $147,705 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	84¢	88¢	+$175	win
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	42¢	52¢	+$200	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$4,202	win
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-125	loss
Bitcoin all time high day after election?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$1,122	win
Bitcoin all time high day after election?	No	75¢	0¢	$-3,015	loss
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$1,070	win
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$997	win
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$870	win
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$695	win

Crypto 57% +$2,964 $319,618 vol · 111 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?	No	68¢	100¢	+$320	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-125	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 9-15?	No	89¢	100¢	+$55	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?	No	72¢	0¢	$-2,865	loss
Will Solana reach $160 in January?	No	66¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-195	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?	No	49¢	100¢	+$155	win
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?	Yes	90¢	0¢	$-500	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 5-11?	No	99¢	100¢	+$31	win

Politics 70% +$2,704 $30,457 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	20¢	8¢	$-93	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	16¢	22¢	$-626	loss
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$81	win
Kamala Harris blowout victory?	No	84¢	100¢	+$309	win
Trump blowout victory?	No	87¢	100¢	+$240	win
Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?	No	62¢	100¢	+$190	win
Winning candidate also wins popular vote?	No	33¢	0¢	$-128	loss
Will Joe Rogan announce he is voting for Trump?	No	88¢	100¢	+$95	win

Geopolitics 56% +$2,319 $14,755 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-280	loss
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-5	loss
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-306	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$1,980	win
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	89¢	100¢	+$110	win

Economy 100% +$328 $1,516 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$308	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$19	win

Other 60% $-2,817 $23,248 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	50¢	73¢	+$230	win
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-590	loss
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?	No	81¢	100¢	+$190	win
Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?	No	68¢	0¢	$-709	loss
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	Yes	69¢	100¢	$-2,545	loss
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	No	61¢	0¢	$-1,220	loss
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 in November?	No	62¢	100¢	+$76	win
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?	No	79¢	100¢	+$210	win