Win rate
40.0%
12 W / 18 L
Total PnL
$-4,937
realized $-7,128 · unrealized $2,192
Portfolio
$2,192
volume $94,524
Predictions
41
0.4/day · avg $2,305
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/09/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 40% $-135
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will threadguy interview Trump before October? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | win |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-424
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Down | 75¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Up | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | loss |
Elections 0% $-490
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-490 | loss |
Other 50% $-1,637
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Men's Final - Canada vs. USA | USA | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$587 | win |
| Miami vs. Indiana | Miami | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-1,213 | loss |
| Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$355 | win |
| Who will win the debate according to polls? | Trump | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-1,366 | loss |
Sports 44% $-2,343
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 55¢ | 52¢ | $-168 | loss |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Spurs | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$128 | win |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Lakers | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Bruins vs. Panthers | Panthers | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
| Wizards vs. Lakers | Wizards | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Cavaliers vs. Jazz | Jazz | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Pistons vs. Thunder | Pistons | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | Pistons | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$189 | win |
| Thunder vs. Raptors | Thunder | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | win |
| Heat vs. Bucks | Bucks | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
Recent Trades (30)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 55.5¢ | 52¢ | $-168 | $2,390 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Spurs | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$128 | $200 | 03/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Lakers | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | $123 | 03/04/2026 |
| Bruins vs. Panthers | Panthers | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $50 | 02/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Lakers | Wizards | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 31/03/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Jazz | Jazz | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 31/03/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Thunder | Pistons | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 31/03/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | Pistons | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$189 | $600 | 28/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Down | 74.7¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 28/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Up | 19.8¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | $125 | 28/03/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Raptors | Thunder | 69.2¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | $250 | 25/02/2026 |
| Heat vs. Bucks | Bucks | 35.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $150 | 25/02/2026 |
| Men's Final - Canada vs. USA | USA | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$587 | $482 | 22/02/2026 |
| Kings vs. Pelicans | Kings | 16.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,170 | $1,245 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Marc Anthony perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | No | 78.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $50 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | No | 89.8¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $100 | 09/02/2026 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Patriots | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,016 | $1,016 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,285 | $1,285 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 91.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $50 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 31/01/2026 |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Patriots | 67.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1,409 | $2,900 | 25/01/2026 |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Yadong | 70.6¢ | 0¢ | $-350 | $350 | 25/01/2026 |
| Miami vs. Indiana | Miami | 26.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,213 | $2,500 | 20/01/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights | Maple Leafs | 84.8¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 16/01/2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10.3¢ | 0¢ | $-490 | $490 | 04/11/2024 |
| Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi? | Yes | 59.8¢ | 100¢ | +$355 | $528 | 15/10/2024 |
| Will threadguy interview Trump before October? | Yes | 79.2¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $415 | 30/09/2024 |
| Who will win the debate according to polls? | Trump | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $-1,366 | $446 | 24/09/2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | $124 | 10/09/2024 |