thisismyusername1991

Geopolitics 67% +$328 $1,394 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	47¢	78¢	+$64	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	50¢	31¢	$-7	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	76¢	94¢	+$1	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	24¢	6¢	$-8	loss
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	88¢	99¢	+$2	win
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?	No	84¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?	No	80¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	79¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Weather 100% +$167 $202 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)	Kansas Jayhawks	49¢	100¢	+$147	win
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Purdue Boilermakers	75¢	100¢	+$20	win

Other 68% +$109 $1,257 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	52¢	55¢	+$2	win
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	88¢	60¢	$-38	loss
Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	93¢	99¢	+$1	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	52¢	52¢	+$0	win
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?	Yes	76¢	86¢	$-1	loss
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	Yes	39¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	No	71¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	65¢	99¢	+$17	win
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	47¢	100¢	+$36	win
BitBoy convicted?	Yes	60¢	0¢	$-45	loss

Crypto 100% +$75 $578 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	75¢	99¢	+$21	win
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	62¢	62¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	No	87¢	100¢	+$19	win

Politics 57% +$42 $428 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	61¢	60¢	$-2	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	79¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?	No	75¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?	No	71¢	100¢	+$10	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	Yes	72¢	0¢	$-21	loss

Economy 100% +$1 $190 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Sports 44% $-108 $682 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Hawks vs. Heat	Hawks	55¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5	Under	52¢	100¢	+$21	win
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	41¢	0¢	$-125	loss
Stars vs. Penguins	Stars	34¢	100¢	+$100	win
Pistons vs. Timberwolves	Pistons	65¢	100¢	+$21	win
Ducks vs. Oilers	Oilers	55¢	100¢	+$18	win
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5	Under	48¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Kraken vs. Sabres	Kraken	44¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5	Under	49¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Clippers vs. Pacers	Pacers	51¢	0¢	$-28	loss

Esports 53% $-148 $1,275 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs	Tundra Esports	66¢	100¢	+$28	win
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	58¢	100¢	+$19	win
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner	Tundra Esports	48¢	100¢	+$82	win
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs	Natus Vincere	78¢	100¢	+$11	win
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	Xtreme Gaming	39¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	57¢	0¢	$-47	loss
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs	PARIVISION	65¢	100¢	+$141	win
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs	PARIVISION	69¢	100¢	+$77	win
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	58¢	100¢	+$19	win
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs	Team Falcons	60¢	0¢	$-52	loss

Elections 40% $-249 $1,626 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	67¢	64¢	$-7	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	80¢	90¢	+$44	win
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?	No	41¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	No	51¢	1¢	$-104	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	23¢	1¢	$-31	loss
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?	No	66¢	0¢	$-76	loss
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	No	65¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	No	63¢	96¢	+$18	win
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	No	59¢	100¢	+$139	win
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$96	win