Frieren68

Crypto 81% +$5,977 $48,419 vol · 135 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	72¢	80¢	$-3	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	85¢	42¢	$-6	loss
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	94¢	97¢	+$8	win
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19?	No	98¢	98¢	+$0	win
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NYC rally?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	No	88¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?	No	93¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 7?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 6?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Geopolitics 86% +$2,811 $53,651 vol · 133 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	90¢	100¢	+$63	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	44¢	74¢	+$248	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	74¢	84¢	+$234	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	64¢	69¢	+$31	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$8	win
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	82¢	90¢	+$4	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	77¢	94¢	+$44	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	95¢	99¢	+$4	win
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	86¢	76¢	$-46	loss

Tech 70% +$193 $7,522 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	62¢	74¢	+$11	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	75¢	26¢	$-173	loss
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 13 2026?	No	91¢	98¢	+$2	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 15?	No	95¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of March?	No	92¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$300	win
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?	No	81¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Culture 100% +$98 $1,070 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $80m and $85m?	No	84¢	100¢	+$76	win

Economy 100% +$61 $1,233 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?	No	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$45	win

Mentions 100% +$16 $292 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$16	win

Finance 67% +$9 $708 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit $28,500 (HIGH) in December?	No	78¢	36¢	$-16	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?	Up	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	73¢	100¢	+$121	win
Will Starbucks say "Promotion" during earnings call?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will EA say "Acquisition" during earnings call?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	99¢	0¢	$-96	loss

Sports 70% $-5 $2,839 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: French Flair vs G2 NORD (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	French Flair	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs	Gen.G	98¢	100¢	+$11	win
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyones Legend	94¢	0¢	$-3	loss
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs	Karmine Corp	93¢	100¢	+$27	win
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs	Cloud9	97¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$7	win
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs	T1	94¢	0¢	$-8	loss
LoL: French Flair vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Group	French Flair	89¢	0¢	$-84	loss
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?	No	92¢	100¢	+$23	win
Aspinall vs. Gane	Gane	24¢	50¢	+$74	win

Elections 57% $-176 $1,046 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?	No	98¢	100¢	$-154	loss
Will Donald Trump say "Rigged Election" on Truth Social this week?	No	94¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	88¢	100¢	$-4	loss

Other 78% $-443 $72,516 vol · 221 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	95¢	100¢	+$0	win
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	81¢	88¢	+$4	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	87¢	96¢	+$2	win
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	Yes	96¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	75¢	81¢	$-2	loss
Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?	No	90¢	98¢	+$16	win
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	93¢	100¢	+$3	win

Esports 67% $-664 $5,866 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Zena Esports vs StoneHenge Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season	Zena Esports	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1	Oh My God	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	73¢	100¢	+$6	win
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs	Gen.G	86¢	0¢	$-11	loss
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	G2 Esports	97¢	100¢	$-20	loss
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs	G2 Esports	97¢	100¢	$-151	loss
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)	KT Rolster	92¢	100¢	+$6	win
League of Legends: Karmine Corp vs. Team Vitality	Karmine Corp	73¢	100¢	+$33	win
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. JD Gaming	JD Gaming	86¢	100¢	+$29	win

Politics 79% $-1,146 $54,460 vol · 254 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	44¢	44¢	+$1	win
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	74¢	64¢	$-23	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	89¢	1¢	$-19	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Leavitt say "President" 69+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in April?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	74¢	86¢	+$6	win
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	92¢	84¢	$-33	loss
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	83¢	79¢	$-6	loss
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?	No	67¢	75¢	+$11	win