Win rate
44.0%
11 W / 14 L
Total PnL
$-15
realized $-882 · unrealized $867
Portfolio
$867
volume $211,019
Predictions
42
1.6/day · avg $5,024
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 19/03/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 67% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 84¢ | 83¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10¢ | 12¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 87¢ | 40¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 12¢ | 10¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | +$2 | win |
Geopolitics 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 92¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 67% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
Sports 50% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 83¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 11¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 83¢ | 85¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 16¢ | 15¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
Other 0% $-18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 95¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 8¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (48)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $33 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $8,177 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98.6¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $842 | 30/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | 98.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $869 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 3¢ | +$0 | $77 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 7.6¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | $147 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88.7¢ | 88¢ | $-1 | $1,730 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | Yes | 4.1¢ | 3¢ | +$2 | $85 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $3,717 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 95.1¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $4,088 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 96.9¢ | 97¢ | $-2 | $873 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.8¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $867 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.1¢ | 95¢ | +$1 | $1,740 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $21 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 3.8¢ | 4¢ | +$0 | $76 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $12,074 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,765 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 83.1¢ | 85¢ | $-1 | $866 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $48 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 15¢ | $-6 | $302 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $871 | 12/07/2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 93.2¢ | 93¢ | +$0 | $1,742 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9.4¢ | 9¢ | +$0 | $184 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $880 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12.8¢ | 11¢ | +$0 | $250 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84.1¢ | 83¢ | +$0 | $970 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 11.8¢ | 10¢ | +$13 | $249 | 20/09/2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 2¢ | +$2 | $53 | 04/10/2026 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 87.4¢ | 40¢ | +$0 | $969 | 03/11/2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 97.4¢ | 98¢ | $-2 | $882 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | No | 95.1¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | $882 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 3.6¢ | 2¢ | $-12 | $141 | 19/12/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91.8¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $2,304 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 91.3¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | $1,744 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 96.5¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $1,843 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.9¢ | 17¢ | +$2 | $163 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 95.9¢ | 95¢ | +$1 | $957 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.8¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $1,909 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 75.8¢ | 73¢ | +$1 | $1,684 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 63.2¢ | 61¢ | +$0 | $879 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 97.3¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $1,914 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $968 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.9¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $880 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98.1¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $955 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 83.6¢ | 83¢ | +$0 | $879 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.8¢ | 9¢ | $-1 | $279 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.1¢ | 1¢ | $-4 | $42 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10.3¢ | 12¢ | $-4 | $403 | 07/11/2028 |