JJblair

Geopolitics 80% +$457 $9,691 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	94¢	97¢	$-4	loss
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	97¢	97¢	+$9	win
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	84¢	72¢	$-62	loss
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	92¢	94¢	+$16	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	No	86¢	0¢	$-172	loss
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?	No	89¢	100¢	$-237	loss
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	87¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	No	92¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$27	win

Politics 0% $-58 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	80¢	36¢	$-58	loss

Sports 0% $-100 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Nuggets vs. Spurs	Spurs	88¢	0¢	$-100	loss

Other 67% $-245 $4,810 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?	No	89¢	96¢	+$16	win
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	94¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	89¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?	No	88¢	100¢	+$14	win
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	85¢	80¢	$-117	loss
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$13	win
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	Yes	37¢	20¢	$-52	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?	No	78¢	100¢	+$27	win
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?	No	72¢	100¢	+$14	win
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?	Up	94¢	100¢	+$6	win