OkieDokiePeon

Geopolitics 49% +$11,488 $715,403 vol · 239 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	11¢	0¢	$-1,008	loss
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	3¢	0¢	+$126	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	61¢	100¢	$-140	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	1¢	0¢	+$49	win
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	19¢	14¢	+$44	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	35¢	26¢	+$44	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$40	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	31¢	0¢	+$13	win
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	84¢	90¢	+$7	win

Elections 32% +$10,687 $153,585 vol · 132 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$0	—
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	43¢	44¢	+$2	win
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	54¢	64¢	+$18	win
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-180	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	85¢	100¢	+$112	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	90¢	100¢	+$109	win
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-119	loss
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	No	14¢	10¢	+$12	win
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	7¢	2¢	$-19	loss

Politics 52% +$1,727 $120,462 vol · 70 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	39¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	61¢	+$0	—
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	84¢	92¢	+$175	win
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	68¢	100¢	$-129	loss
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-223	loss
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	87¢	90¢	+$0	—
Will Linda McMahon be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	75¢	36¢	$-40	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	65¢	86¢	$-1	loss

Crypto 63% +$360 $3,890 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	55¢	60¢	+$217	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	66¢	100¢	+$19	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	60¢	100¢	+$18	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	25¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	31¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	79¢	100¢	+$20	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	17¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	59¢	100¢	+$20	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	79¢	100¢	+$10	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	42¢	0¢	$-21	loss

Other 45% +$337 $97,423 vol · 103 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	No	89¢	98¢	+$20	win
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	36¢	44¢	+$53	win
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	74¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-2	loss
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	95¢	96¢	$-3	loss
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	31¢	16¢	$-24	loss
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	37¢	0¢	$-74	loss
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	74¢	84¢	$-154	loss

Economy 40% +$110 $6,359 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	37¢	8¢	+$22	win
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	48¢	4¢	$-126	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	9¢	0¢	+$25	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	33¢	1¢	$-34	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	2¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$41	win

Finance 33% +$15 $1,048 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$37	win

Sports 42% +$1 $43,018 vol · 26 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Curtis Blaydes	48¢	0¢	$-48	loss
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Azamat Murzakanov	71¢	0¢	$-213	loss
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?	Yes	68¢	100¢	$-45	loss
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Timberwolves vs. Raptors	Timberwolves	30¢	100¢	+$25	win
Nuggets vs. Knicks	Nuggets	35¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Mavericks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	99¢	100¢	+$182	win
Hornets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	97¢	100¢	+$42	win
Hornets vs. Cavaliers	Hornets	1¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Mavericks vs. Pelicans	Mavericks	12¢	0¢	$-36	loss

Tech 50% $-56 $7,461 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?	No	6¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$63	win
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?	No	3¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?	No	36¢	0¢	$-72	loss
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$69	win
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?	No	75¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?	No	15¢	100¢	+$108	win
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$75	win
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?	No	88¢	100¢	+$59	win

Esports 47% $-316 $6,675 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2	Astralis	53¢	100¢	+$0	—
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	Legacy	24¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner	G2	39¢	0¢	+$23	win
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner	Tundra Esports	61¢	100¢	+$118	win
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs	TheMongolz	60¢	100¢	+$40	win
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage	TheMongolz	54¢	100¢	+$125	win
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage	Astralis	8¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage	B8	21¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs	Sinners	75¢	100¢	+$25	win
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)	Oh My God	6¢	0¢	$-40	loss

Culture 35% $-874 $32,362 vol · 79 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	22¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Will "The Addams Family" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	70¢	100¢	+$71	win
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)	Yes	36¢	100¢	+$58	win
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)	No	28¢	0¢	$-1,196	loss

Mentions 17% $-8,085 $128,481 vol · 257 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?	Yes	18¢	0¢	+$33	win
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$51	win
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	No	92¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-366	loss
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-153	loss
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—