M2Bubble

Finance 79% +$9,764 $63,582 vol · 238 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	No	50¢	56¢	+$28	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	53¢	57¢	+$2	win
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	6¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will DocuSign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Samsara (IOT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$77	win
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$69	win
Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	34¢	100¢	+$412	win
Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$14	win

Tech 78% +$2,217 $52,952 vol · 187 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	45¢	71¢	+$31	win
Will Meta dip to $570 in April?	No	7¢	0¢	$-201	loss
Will Meta dip to $570 in April?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Amazon dip to $192 in April?	No	95¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will Tesla reach $435 in April?	No	93¢	76¢	$-6	loss
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $340 end of April?	No	55¢	15¢	$-123	loss
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of April?	Yes	96¢	98¢	+$3	win
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of April?	Yes	93¢	94¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on April 13?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Amazon dip to $192 in March?	No	51¢	100¢	+$214	win

Elections 88% +$463 $4,816 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	No	88¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	No	74¢	100¢	+$176	win
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	58¢	0¢	+$30	win
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	No	81¢	100¢	+$119	win
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	90¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?	Yes	91¢	100¢	$-40	loss

Esports 88% +$43 $1,561 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
StarCraft II: Solar vs herO (BO7) - PiG Sty Festival Playoffs	herO	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
StarCraft II: Gerald vs Percival - Map 1 Winner	Percival	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
StarCraft II: Shameless vs Percival - Map 1 Winner	Shameless	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
StarCraft II: Solar vs Percival (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group C	Solar	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
StarCraft II: NightMare vs Nicoract (BO3) - WardiTV Championship Group A	Nicoract	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)	Team Falcons	63¢	100¢	+$294	win
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)	Nigma Galaxy	68¢	100¢	+$142	win
Dota 2: Heroic vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)	Heroic	79¢	0¢	$-400	loss

Culture 67% +$13 $754 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$31	win
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-59	loss
Will “The Beast in Me” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$41	win

Weather 100% +$4 $410 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Named storm forms before hurricane season?	Yes	46¢	37¢	+$2	win
Named storm forms before hurricane season?	No	56¢	63¢	+$2	win

Geopolitics 50% $-21 $734 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	$-21	loss

Other 71% $-252 $98,211 vol · 241 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	87¢	82¢	$-19	loss
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	91¢	94¢	+$20	win
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	Yes	53¢	16¢	+$44	win
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?	No	84¢	84¢	+$1	win
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?	No	91¢	98¢	+$1	win
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	27¢	0¢	$-55	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-1,348	loss
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	90¢	99¢	+$6	win
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?	Yes	17¢	5¢	$-207	loss

Crypto 77% $-427 $4,109 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	42¢	36¢	+$6	win
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	69¢	68¢	$-1	loss
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	57¢	57¢	+$3	win
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?	No	54¢	0¢	+$182	win
Will Jensen Huang say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NVIDIA keynote?	No	86¢	100¢	+$12	win
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?	Yes	37¢	100¢	+$94	win
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?	No	34¢	0¢	$-136	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26?	Up	81¢	0¢	$-743	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 22?	Up	91¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will Airbnb (ABNB) finish week of November 10 above $115?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$36	win

Sports 87% $-531 $10,630 vol · 45 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix dip to $70 in March?	No	88¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 2 above $70?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$33	win
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 2?	Down	38¢	0¢	$-202	loss
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of February?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Mirra Andreeva vs Daria Kasatkina	Andreeva	51¢	50¢	$-12	loss
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Magda Linette	Alexandrova	68¢	0¢	$-190	loss
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $90?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $50?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-301	loss

Politics 33% $-822 $3,094 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	97¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026?	Yes	92¢	41¢	$-39	loss
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump and Zelenskyy not shake hands?	No	93¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-586	loss
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?	Yes	75¢	0¢	$-197	loss

Economy 60% $-3,531 $5,040 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?	No	66¢	0¢	$-3,072	loss
Will the Eurozone’s October 2025 unemployment rate be 6.4%?	No	78¢	0¢	$-540	loss
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after November 2025 meeting?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$53	win
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be below 0.0%?	No	79¢	100¢	+$16	win