esportslover

Other 63% +$9,910 $109,490 vol · 234 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	78¢	75¢	+$0	—
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	No	97¢	99¢	+$0	—
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	93¢	100¢	+$170	win
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	64¢	0¢	$-158	loss
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	50¢	40¢	+$20	win
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	68¢	92¢	+$41	win
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	77¢	48¢	+$34	win
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	63¢	81¢	+$34	win
Hyperswap FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	91¢	100¢	+$18	win
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	75¢	74¢	$-1	loss

Esports 64% +$5,240 $344,689 vol · 720 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	No	94¢	90¢	$-6	loss
Valorant: MIBR vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner	MIBR	71¢	100¢	+$145	win
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	G2 Esports	69¢	0¢	$-207	loss
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	DRX	74¢	100¢	$-39	loss
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	Evil Geniuses	58¢	0¢	$-87	loss
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winner	Cloud9	59¢	100¢	+$147	win
Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	ZETA DIVISION	40¢	0¢	+$38	win
Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winner	DetonatioN FocusMe	60¢	100¢	+$100	win
Map Handicap: DRX (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)	Global Esports	70¢	0¢	$-280	loss
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winner	FURIA Esports	92¢	100¢	$-181	loss

Finance 72% +$1,483 $18,495 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	27¢	44¢	+$253	win
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	63¢	76¢	+$35	win
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?	No	87¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	87¢	0¢	$-147	loss
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Anduril IPO in 2025?	No	91¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$47	win
Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$177	win
Will Evercore (EVR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$0	win

Geopolitics 62% +$218 $5,335 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$156	win
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	70¢	32¢	$-7	loss
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	76¢	100¢	+$26	win
Iran nuclear test in 2025?	No	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	82¢	100¢	$-45	loss
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?	No	90¢	0¢	+$0	—
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?	No	76¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?	No	7¢	0¢	$-21	loss

Elections 40% +$95 $934 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-38	loss

Tech 71% +$85 $8,164 vol · 26 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	60¢	64¢	+$38	win
Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	83¢	100¢	+$94	win
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	92¢	97¢	+$21	win
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?	No	94¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$67	win
OpenAI browser in 2025?	No	31¢	0¢	+$16	win
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	No	90¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?	No	92¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?	No	94¢	100¢	+$0	—

Economy 50% +$70 $3,137 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-397	loss
Next BLS jobs report by Oct 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-182	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	93¢	100¢	+$42	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-23	loss

Mentions 38% +$66 $1,522 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon tweet 1500 or more times September 1–30?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times September 5–12?	No	90¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-62	loss
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-323	loss
Will Elon tweet between 480 and 509 times August 29–September 5?	No	94¢	100¢	+$17	win

Sports 50% $-84 $2,520 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?	No	68¢	100¢	+$171	win
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?	No	35¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will Wei Yi win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Hellenic Championship: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vit Kopriva	Hanfmann	59¢	100¢	+$16	win
Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	76¢	100¢	+$84	win
Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	11¢	0¢	$-85	loss
Rockets vs. Spurs	Rockets	62¢	0¢	$-310	loss
Will Powell say "Inflation" 35+ times during speech on October 14?	No	77¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will Powell say "Inflation" 25+ times during speech on October 14?	Yes	80¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Afghanistan win the 2025 Asia Cup?	No	95¢	100¢	+$5	win

Politics 74% $-104 $3,320 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?	No	12¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump resign in 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?	Yes	68¢	100¢	$-23	loss
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?	No	63¢	0¢	$-126	loss
Will Trump say "IQ" during the America Business Forum on November 5?	No	71¢	0¢	$-79	loss
Will Trump say "Thank you" 7+ times during announcement today?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during announcement today?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Egypt summit?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Culture 0% $-154 $1,816 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	No	31¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?	Yes	69¢	0¢	$-69	loss

Crypto 50% $-12,246 $151,183 vol · 640 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-86	loss
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$264	win
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	81¢	65¢	$-105	loss
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	90¢	90¢	+$3	win
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	77¢	90¢	+$73	win
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	No	73¢	76¢	+$14	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	93¢	96¢	+$22	win
Will Solana dip to $70 in April?	No	89¢	87¢	$-10	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?	No	84¢	100¢	+$125	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	Yes	90¢	100¢	$-87	loss