Win rate
36.4%
221 W / 386 L
Total PnL
$5,589
realized $-20,153 · unrealized $25,743
Portfolio
$25,743
volume $30,025,192
Predictions
938
36.8/day · avg $32,010
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Weather 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Economy 50% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | $-1,659 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$7,807 | win |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Tech 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 0% $-340
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-340 | loss |
Crypto 33% $-393
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-367 | loss |
| Will Ethan Fang win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Elections 30% $-402
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-737 | loss |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$727 | win |
| Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
| Will Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
Culture 90% $-494
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-391 | loss |
| Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elio win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 53% $-3,679
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in April 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-102 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 100¢ | +$8,539 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-415 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-133 | loss |
Geopolitics 24% $-4,038
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1,248 | loss |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 98¢ | 95¢ | +$0 | — |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 100¢ | +$8,269 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2,939 | loss |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-46 | loss |
Other 21% $-16,690
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-1,318 | loss |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 2¢ | 24¢ | +$878 | win |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | No | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,781 | win |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-599 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | 38¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-83 | loss |
Sports 24% $-53,830
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 9¢ | +$670 | win |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2,282 | loss |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-58 | loss |
| Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 100¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | No | 79¢ | 78¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-77 | loss |
| Will South Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1,131 | loss |
| Will VCU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$206 | win |
| Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-49 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1,781 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-19 | $337 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-77 | $15,891 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 68.3¢ | 100¢ | $-98 | $26,821 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Fred Couples win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-101 | $20,468 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tom McKibbin win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-113 | $10,410 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | $-123 | $35,170 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-159 | $36,063 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | $-169 | $35,247 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-174 | $24,942 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | $-182 | $34,440 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-185 | $35,670 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Harry Hall win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-187 | $35,592 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Charl Schwartzel win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-192 | $32,979 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-212 | $36,216 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-213 | $36,123 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-215 | $36,557 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-217 | $35,428 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-221 | $35,594 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-230 | $35,602 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 86.1¢ | 100¢ | $-240 | $33,822 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-240 | $2,871 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-242 | $35,743 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Michael Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-244 | $35,663 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-263 | $35,671 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | $-264 | $35,502 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-264 | $35,671 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-266 | $35,375 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $-277 | $35,449 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Casey Jarvis win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-277 | $35,577 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Johnny Keefer win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-280 | $35,507 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-281 | $35,500 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-282 | $35,621 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | $-294 | $35,424 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-294 | $35,348 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Zach Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-296 | $31,603 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-297 | $35,826 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-300 | $35,760 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-301 | $35,988 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | $-305 | $35,302 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-307 | $35,593 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-307 | $35,602 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Max Greyserman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-308 | $35,749 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-310 | $35,696 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-310 | $35,643 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-310 | $35,524 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-331 | $36,603 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-331 | $35,865 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 87.7¢ | 100¢ | $-334 | $34,460 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Alexander Noren win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-337 | $35,530 | 13/04/2026 |