Toporceanu

Crypto 54% +$348 $12,702 vol · 26 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	86¢	100¢	+$5	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	65¢	0¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	97¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	66¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	69¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	70¢	100¢	+$46	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	70¢	100¢	+$29	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	85¢	100¢	+$21	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	78¢	100¢	+$20	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	84¢	100¢	+$16	win

Esports 75% +$80 $280 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 250+ tries?	Yes	55¢	0¢	+$22	win
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Monday?	Yes	39¢	0¢	+$0	—
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Sunday?	Yes	90¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 75-99 tries?	Yes	95¢	0¢	+$0	win

Sports 67% +$46 $467 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?	Yes	97¢	98¢	+$1	win
Will inflation increase by 2.8% or more in November?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-100	loss

Finance 100% +$1 $25 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 16?	Up	95¢	100¢	+$1	win

Elections 64% $-36 $6,336 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	90¢	100¢	+$120	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	90¢	99¢	+$115	win
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-134	loss
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?	Yes	42¢	100¢	+$111	win
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	17¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 34% and 36%?	No	91¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be between 34% and 36%?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-781	loss
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?	No	65¢	0¢	$-454	loss
Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$6	win

Politics 60% $-53 $2,577 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?	No	72¢	100¢	+$49	win
South Korean President impeached in 2024?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$33	win
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-87	loss
Will Trump say "day one" during NBC interview?	Yes	75¢	0¢	$-100	loss

Culture 50% $-1,807 $4,723 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get between 76 and 79 million views on week 1?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-1,826	loss

Mentions 73% $-2,072 $238,338 vol · 200 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win

Other 78% $-3,191 $28,129 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$102	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$46	win
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$84	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$64	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win

Geopolitics 31% $-6,056 $9,634 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-3	loss
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?	No	94¢	100¢	$-728	loss
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?	Yes	54¢	0¢	$-4,621	loss
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-176	loss
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?	No	78¢	100¢	$-451	loss
Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?	No	1¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?	Yes	61¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?	No	1¢	0¢	+$276	win