Hedric

Crypto 75% +$95 $217 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	37¢	40¢	+$1	win
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	Yes	94¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	No	75¢	100¢	+$3	win
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?	No	34¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?	No	50¢	100¢	+$21	win
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?	Yes	47¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?	No	54¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Other 65% +$71 $1,889 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	54¢	72¢	+$7	win
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	30¢	34¢	+$8	win
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	65¢	82¢	$-0	loss
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	85¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	25¢	16¢	$-4	loss
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	Yes	26¢	9¢	$-10	loss
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	50¢	80¢	$-11	loss
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	68¢	66¢	$-15	loss
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	64¢	36¢	$-18	loss

Esports 75% +$36 $104 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Team Falcons	52¢	100¢	+$22	win
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	71¢	100¢	+$12	win
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	MIBR	42¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	3DMAX	48¢	100¢	+$27	win

Politics 45% +$33 $1,171 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?	No	76¢	88¢	+$4	win
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	No	77¢	84¢	$-0	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	81¢	92¢	$-2	loss
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	16¢	16¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	60¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	73¢	84¢	+$22	win
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	55¢	76¢	+$19	win
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	50¢	66¢	$-1	loss
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?	Yes	7¢	3¢	$-6	loss
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	60¢	60¢	+$8	win

Economy 57% +$17 $186 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	32¢	26¢	$-4	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?	No	89¢	100¢	$-0	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$5	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	89¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Finance 100% +$0 $29 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$0	win

Tech 25% $-9 $121 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	68¢	70¢	+$0	win
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	69¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?	No	43¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	72¢	100¢	$-3	loss

Sports 50% $-16 $170 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	61¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in November?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?	No	84¢	100¢	+$4	win

Elections 42% $-67 $972 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	59¢	64¢	+$25	win
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	75¢	64¢	$-13	loss
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	30¢	36¢	+$6	win
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	25¢	8¢	$-16	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	69¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?	Yes	73¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?	No	34¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?	No	10¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	51¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	No	73¢	93¢	+$13	win

Geopolitics 49% $-324 $7,873 vol · 84 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	44¢	78¢	+$131	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	61¢	70¢	+$32	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	39¢	16¢	+$14	win
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	69¢	91¢	+$11	win
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	57¢	55¢	+$1	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	69¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	67¢	84¢	$-19	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	56¢	23¢	$-23	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	56¢	22¢	$-28	loss
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	72¢	84¢	+$178	win