0x9b1fb3472172ccf9ca9ceb9d0bce63cb8519ff2

Politics 55% +$453 $1,648 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-67	loss
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$17	win
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$164	win
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$133	win
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	66¢	100¢	+$67	win
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	39¢	0¢	$-71	loss
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	47¢	0¢	$-182	loss
Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in November?	No	75¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-22	loss

Weather 61% +$413 $2,662 vol · 69 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 16?	Yes	62¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 30?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 30?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 30?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 29?	Yes	42¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 29?	Yes	55¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 28?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$54	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 28?	Yes	44¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 28?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$33	win

Elections 50% +$7 $93 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$33	win
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-26	loss

Geopolitics 100% +$2 $28 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?	No	88¢	100¢	+$2	win

Tech 50% $-5 $118 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?	No	59¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will Sydney Sweeney rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?	Yes	75¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?	No	23¢	0¢	$-8	loss

Crypto 50% $-33 $61 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?	Yes	83¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3PM ET	Down	48¢	100¢	+$2	win

Other 50% $-54 $1,451 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	78¢	90¢	+$4	win
Will Detroit record the first snowfall?	Yes	45¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	37¢	26¢	$-12	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	68¢	99¢	+$50	win
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?	No	28¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-59	loss
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?	Yes	68¢	0¢	$-67	loss
Will "Jamie" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)	No	65¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$24	win
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies	Connecticut Huskies	55¢	100¢	+$23	win

Esports 55% $-89 $776 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5	Over	53¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A	FURIA	45¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5	Over	57¢	100¢	+$21	win
Dota 2: Aurora vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs	Aurora	77¢	100¢	$-25	loss
Dota 2: Aurora vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs	Zero Tenacity	30¢	0¢	$-116	loss
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage	Inner Circle	85¢	100¢	+$15	win
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B	FaZe	87¢	100¢	+$18	win
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In	Liquid	74¢	100¢	+$13	win
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs	Team Liquid	51¢	100¢	+$35	win
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs	Karmine Corp	74¢	0¢	$-6	loss

Culture 53% $-241 $1,051 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-195	loss
Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?	Yes	73¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will "Hamnet" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will "Copshop" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-78	loss
Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 15m?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will "Patterns - Kelsea Ballerini" win Best Contemporary Country Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-28	loss

Sports 41% $-616 $2,047 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	15¢	15¢	+$1	win
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	29¢	93¢	+$65	win
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	25¢	64¢	$-20	loss
Hornets vs. Celtics	Celtics	65¢	100¢	+$15	win
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5	Over	53¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$23	win
Timberwolves vs. 76ers	76ers	49¢	100¢	+$49	win
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)	Suns	53¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5	Yes	59¢	0¢	$-35	loss