Win rate
36.4%
4 W / 7 L
Total PnL
$-161
realized $-877 · unrealized $716
Portfolio
$716
volume $50,762
Predictions
15
0.5/day · avg $3,384
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 100% +$98
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 61¢ | 42¢ | +$98 | win |
Elections 33% +$50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 45¢ | 20¢ | $-134 | loss |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 27¢ | 20¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-98 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 2¢ | $-4 | loss |
Geopolitics 50% $-551
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 33¢ | $-554 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$3 | win |
Recent Trades (11)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 9.9¢ | 80¢ | +$325 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 26.9¢ | 20¢ | +$29 | $439 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $27 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 0.9¢ | 1¢ | $-98 | $127 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 45.5¢ | 20¢ | $-134 | $327 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 12/04/2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $29 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 56.0¢ | 56¢ | +$3 | $300 | 22/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | No | 78.8¢ | 33¢ | $-554 | $958 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 61.0¢ | 42¢ | +$98 | $661 | 30/04/2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 10.9¢ | 2¢ | $-4 | $40 | 01/07/2026 |