The-Joker

Other 74% +$26,058 $329,125 vol · 374 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Yellow FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$49	win
Nebula3 FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	70¢	60¢	$-65	loss
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?	No	89¢	99¢	+$1	win
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	68¢	100¢	+$672	win
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	No	92¢	100¢	+$228	win
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$78	win
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$55	win
Flying Tulip FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Eric Adams charged by December 31?	No	63¢	72¢	+$37	win

Culture 61% +$20,951 $286,732 vol · 280 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	76¢	78¢	+$37	win
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	Yes	39¢	46¢	+$13	win
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	No	91¢	88¢	$-2	loss
Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$97	win
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	No	32¢	42¢	+$18	win
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m?	Yes	75¢	86¢	+$97	win
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?	No	80¢	96¢	+$59	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-454	loss
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-140	loss

Geopolitics 79% +$18,011 $654,353 vol · 197 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	95¢	100¢	+$750	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	94¢	100¢	+$460	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-488	loss
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	97¢	100¢	+$121	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	87¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	66¢	100¢	$-384	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	13¢	0¢	+$3	win

Politics 70% +$2,791 $241,974 vol · 152 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	61¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	39¢	+$0	—
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	100¢	100¢	$-56	loss
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	47¢	0¢	+$19	win
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	1¢	0¢	+$37	win
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$12	win
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	66¢	55¢	+$6	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	55¢	62¢	$-37	loss
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?	No	40¢	100¢	+$140	win

Sports 64% +$1,398 $31,213 vol · 116 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Sofia Montenegro (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Montenegro	48¢	50¢	+$2	win
Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	49¢	50¢	+$0	—
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-19	loss
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	34¢	0¢	$-131	loss
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	No	29¢	0¢	+$50	win
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Hornets	99¢	100¢	+$61	win
Magic vs. Trail Blazers	Magic	71¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Rockets vs. Clippers	Rockets	79¢	0¢	$-116	loss
Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	64¢	100¢	+$32	win

Finance 90% +$594 $16,028 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	No	44¢	5¢	+$193	win
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	83¢	95¢	+$56	win
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?	No	24¢	100¢	+$284	win
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	76¢	0¢	$-62	loss
Will Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$40	win
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?	No	40¢	0¢	+$14	win
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Mentions 59% +$286 $7,285 vol · 33 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 5?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-401	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?	Yes	69¢	0¢	$-122	loss
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?	No	85¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-289	loss
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	Yes	27¢	0¢	+$24	win
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-114	loss
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$20	win

Economy 75% +$214 $654 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?	No	39¢	100¢	+$210	win
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$6	win

Esports 81% +$183 $29,611 vol · 67 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs	NRG	98¢	100¢	+$17	win
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner	Gentle Mates	99¢	100¢	+$12	win
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs yache123 (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage	yache123	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	47¢	50¢	$-78	loss
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	84¢	50¢	$-180	loss
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winner	Fnatic	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winner	Cloud9	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports - Map 4 Winner	Gentle Mates	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs	Cloud9	99¢	100¢	+$10	win
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner	100 Thieves	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Crypto 69% +$101 $23,115 vol · 45 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Binance launch stock tokens in 2026?	No	17¢	0¢	+$103	win
Will Trove launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$24	win
Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price by March 31, 2026?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$136	win
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$17	win
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?	No	94¢	100¢	$-164	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	71¢	100¢	+$29	win
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	75¢	100¢	+$28	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	82¢	100¢	+$12	win

Weather 0% $-57 $743 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 6?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on January 19?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	—

Tech 69% $-111 $75,968 vol · 101 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?	No	1¢	0¢	+$10	win
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	54¢	16¢	+$281	win
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	69¢	68¢	$-1	loss
GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?	No	89¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?	No	9¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$57	win
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	No	56¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$105	win

Elections 63% $-446 $204,939 vol · 57 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	$-7	loss
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	+$0	—
Will Trump nationalize elections?	No	62¢	78¢	+$42	win
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	59¢	100¢	$-18	loss
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-163	loss
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	81¢	92¢	$-90	loss
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-428	loss
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-381	loss
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	No	77¢	14¢	+$69	win