Win rate
64.5%
185 W / 102 L
Total PnL
$-87
realized $-681 · unrealized $594
Portfolio
$594
volume $30,760
Predictions
758
43.8/day · avg $41
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 02/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 70% +$227
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 36¢ | +$0 | win |
| Jiangsu Dragons vs. Fujian Sturgeons | Fujian Sturgeons | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrez | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Ningbo Rockets | Guangdong Southern Tigers | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | Yes | 90¢ | 86¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Shenzhen Leopards | Shenzhen Leopards | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks | Shanghai Sharks | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore | Rajasthan Royals | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Geopolitics 67% +$118
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 44¢ | 68¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Yes | 41¢ | 87¢ | +$29 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Hurricanes vs. Senators | Hurricanes | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Sabres vs. Senators | Senators | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Crypto 100% +$38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinn | Ethan Quinn | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Terence Atmane vs Ethan Quinn | Terence Atmane | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Ethan Cook | Fajing Sun | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesana | Francisco Comesana | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Mentions 100% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
Elections 100% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Politics 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Weather 50% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | New Mexico Lobos | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Sports 58% $-106
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 77¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Pittsburgh Pirates | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Dodgers | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Atlanta Braves | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Dodgers | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
Esports 43% $-199
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs | Heroic | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Brute vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C | INFURITY Gaming | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | FOKUS | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | Legacy | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner | Nongshim Esports Academy | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | B8 | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | Inner Circle Esports | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Pittsburgh Pirates | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Yes | 72.4¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore | Rajasthan Royals | 89.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Kody Pearson vs Li Tu | Li Tu | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Shanghai Sharks vs. Fujian Sturgeons | Shanghai Sharks | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev | Joao Fonseca | 38.1¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremska | Gabriela Ruse | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $47 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockx | Alexander Blockx | 58.1¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $52 | 15/04/2026 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Ducks | Beijing Ducks | 79.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $34 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverev | Alexander Zverev | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Dalma Galfi vs Sorana Cirstea | Sorana Cirstea | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $32 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmane | Tomas Etcheverry | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sloane Stephens | Mirra Andreeva | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Los Angeles Angels | 39.3¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot | Lorenzo Musetti | 55.9¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur | Cameron Norrie | 36.7¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | $66 | 15/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Dayana Yastremska vs Ann Li | Dayana Yastremska | 61.7¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $36 | 14/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknech | Joao Fonseca | 76.2¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $46 | 14/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Julia Grabher vs Alexandra Eala | Alexandra Eala | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $23 | 14/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Nicolas Mejia vs Vladyslav Orlov | Nicolas Mejia | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $21 | 14/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Volynets vs Donna Vekic | Donna Vekic | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $23 | 14/04/2026 |
| Sarasota: Daniel Galan vs Garrett Johns | Garrett Johns | 67.4¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $23 | 14/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Terence Atmane vs Ethan Quinn | Terence Atmane | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $23 | 14/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenko | Marin Cilic | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $36 | 14/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Ethan Cook | Fajing Sun | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $49 | 14/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Filip Peliwo vs Harry Wendelken | Harry Wendelken | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $36 | 14/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Paula Badosa vs Lilli Tagger | Lilli Tagger | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $23 | 14/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Dodgers | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $23 | 14/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sara Bejlek vs Panna Udvardy | Sara Bejlek | 51.0¢ | 50¢ | $-1 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Edas Butvilas vs Joel Schwaerzler | Edas Butvilas | 74.8¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 14/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jaqueline Cristian vs Tamara Korpatsch | Jaqueline Cristian | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 14/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Tibo Colson vs Miguel Tobon | Miguel Tobon | 85.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 14/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 74.3¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Kody Pearson vs Zhao Zhao | Zhao Zhao | 95.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels | Atlanta Braves | 68.9¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner | Vitality | 45.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians | Mumbai Indians | 54.7¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $35 | 14/04/2026 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 60.3¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 14/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Valentin Vacherot | 40.6¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Dodgers | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $41 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Anyones Legend | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Blake Ellis vs Justin Boulais | Justin Boulais | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $22 | 13/04/2026 |
| Wuning: Alastair Gray vs Yasutaka Uchiyama | Alastair Gray | 67.3¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $35 | 13/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Whitney Osuigwe vs Simona Waltert | Whitney Osuigwe | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $22 | 13/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Alycia Parks vs Dalma Galfi | Dalma Galfi | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $27 | 13/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Boulter vs Gabriela Ruse | Gabriela Ruse | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |