Win rate
51.5%
17 W / 16 L
Total PnL
$-895
realized $-2,896 · unrealized $2,001
Portfolio
$2,001
volume $19,955
Predictions
50
12.0/day · avg $399
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 14/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Finance 100% +$32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Elections 100% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 70¢ | 82¢ | +$8 | win |
Sports 0% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Lakers | 67¢ | 62¢ | $-8 | loss |
Politics 67% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | No | 65¢ | 66¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 70¢ | 68¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 79¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 0% $-29
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 58¢ | 54¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 83¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 57¢ | $-1 | loss |
Crypto 60% $-466
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | Down | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Up | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Down | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | Up | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-344 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | Down | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 16? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | Down | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Down | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | Up | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
Other 38% $-534
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 58¢ | 58¢ | +$19 | win |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 38¢ | 36¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31? | No | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | Yes | 44¢ | 28¢ | $-174 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-292 | loss |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5 | Under | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5) | Arsenal FC | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (35)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Lakers | 67.0¢ | 62¢ | $-8 | $100 | 19/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | Down | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $66 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Up | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $500 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Down | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $45 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | Up | 15.1¢ | 0¢ | $-344 | $363 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | Down | 29.4¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | $144 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 79.5¢ | 0¢ | $-292 | $294 | 18/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17? | Up | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $970 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 16? | No | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $269 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | Down | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Down | 50.9¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $56 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | Down | 49.9¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | Up | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $82 | 16/04/2026 |
| RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5 | Under | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $110 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | Up | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $213 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | Up | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $233 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $74 | 16/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 15? | Up | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $135 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5) | Arsenal FC | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $23 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 69.7¢ | 82¢ | +$8 | $843 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | No | 86.3¢ | 83¢ | $-2 | $39 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 57¢ | $-1 | $30 | 21/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 79.0¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | $117 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | Yes | 19.4¢ | 12¢ | $-94 | $252 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | Yes | 44.3¢ | 28¢ | $-174 | $487 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | No | 69.7¢ | 68¢ | $-11 | $627 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | No | 98.0¢ | 97¢ | $-1 | $98 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | No | 94.0¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | $94 | 31/05/2026 |
| Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31? | No | 85.0¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | $170 | 31/05/2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? | No | 65.3¢ | 66¢ | +$1 | $76 | 30/06/2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 58.0¢ | 54¢ | $-27 | $348 | 31/12/2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 58.3¢ | 58¢ | +$19 | $414 | 31/12/2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 38.4¢ | 36¢ | $-4 | $61 | 31/12/2026 |